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Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co HK$5.65, price HK$9.86, upside -42.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK

GH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co

1021 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$5.65 · Strongly overvalued (−43%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +52.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.7% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$24.38 HK$8.37 Fair Value HK$5.65 Mar 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

6‑month range HK$8.37 – HK$24.38 · fair‑value band HK$3.76 – HK$7.06 · the HK$9.86 price screens above the HK$5.65 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co., Ltd. operates as a collaborative robotics company, develops, manufactures, and sells cobots and core motion components in China and Internationally.

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Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co., Ltd. operates as a collaborative robotics company, develops, manufactures, and sells cobots and core motion components in China and Internationally. The company's products cobots, which includes Elfin-Basic, Elfin-Pro, Elfin-Ex, Series, HRC embodied intelligence control platform, S20, and S30 series; core motion components, including frameless torque motors, servo drives, joint modules, and precision motion platforms; collaborative robots. The company also develops HRC embodied intelligence control platform. The company serves manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, education, and service industries. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Foshan, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021) currently trades at HK$9.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.65, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$3.76 (bear) to HK$7.06 (bull), the price of HK$9.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co reported revenue of 387M CNY in FY2025 versus 109M CNY in FY2022, a compound +52.3%/yr. Reported net income was −29.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$9.9B (≈ $1.3B) · P/S ratio 25.5 · Net margin −7.7% · Return on equity −5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.9% · Operating margin −17.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$387M · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%.

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −43%, 1021 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.76 Fair Value HK$5.65 Bull HK$7.06
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.22 HK$5.65 HK$8.43 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.22 HK$5.65 HK$8.43 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.3%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−84.9% (2022) → −11.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1021 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 833 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −18% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.25× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)9 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1021

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.65 versus a price of HK$9.86, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1021?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is HK$5.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.86.
What is the quality score of 1021?
Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$5.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.76, optimistic scenario HK$7.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$5.65, about −43% upside versus a price of HK$9.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.76, optimistic scenario HK$7.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$387M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co it is HK$5.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$9.86. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1021 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$9.86, fair value HK$5.65, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1021?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$9.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$5.65). For Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co the two are HK$4.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co worth?
The market values Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co at about HK$9.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$9.86; our models calculate a fair value of HK$5.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1021?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co: cautious scenario HK$3.76, base HK$5.65, optimistic HK$7.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$9.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −5.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1021 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co trades at HK$9.86, about 61% below its 52-week high of HK$25.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$5.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$9.86, calculated fair value HK$5.65 (−43%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1021 calculated?
We run Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$5.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was HK$9.86. Our model-based fair value is HK$5.65, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$7.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$3.76 to HK$7.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is HK$9.9B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is 25.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The net margin of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is −7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is −11.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is −17.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021)?
Revenue at Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co (1021) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co is −HK$28.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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