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Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Universe International Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.82, price HK$1.37, that is 40.1% below the price, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services HK · ISIN BMG928811790

UI Universe International Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 14, 2026

Universe International Holdings Ltd

1046 · HK

Far too expensive (fair value 40% below the price), but solid company and rising price: meets 2 of 3 rules.

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Quality 69/100 
Rising price (uptrend) 
Low debt 
Generates free cash flow 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −27.6 %/yr in HKD) 
Revenue last quarter 72% below a year ago. 
Fair value HK$0.8200 · Strongly overvalued 
Loss-making · -9.1% net margin (TTM) 
Trails peers (3/12) 
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.54 HK$0.2260 Fair Value HK$0.8200 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2260 – HK$1.54 · fair‑value band HK$0.6000 – HK$1.21 · the HK$1.37 price screens above the HK$0.8200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 14, 2026.

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Company profile

Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the video and film distribution and exhibition, and film rights and television series licensing and sub-licensing businesses.

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It operates through Video Distribution, Film Distribution and Exhibition, Licensing and Sub-Licensing of Film Rights; Trading, Wholesaling, and Retailing of Optical Products and Watches Products; Leasing of Investment Properties; Securities Investments; Financial Printing Services; and Others segments.

The company offers film production; securities investment; and financial printing services, including typesetting, translation, printing, design, distribution, and other related services.

It is also involved in the entertainment business; leasing of investment properties; investment in films and television production, as well as concerts and licensing of film rights; management of contracted artistes; licensing and sub-licensing of music programmes; and wholesale and retail of watches and optical products.

In addition, the company operates a model agency and optical shops; and engages as an advertising and purchasing agent. It operates in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited was formerly known as Universe International Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited in October 2018.

Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) currently trades at HK$1.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8200, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$2.44 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$1.37 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1000, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6000 (bear) to HK$1.21 (bull), the price of HK$1.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2006: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2006.

Universe International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$120M in FY2026 versus HK$128M in FY2022, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.2B (≈ $158M) Micro · P/S ratio 10.9 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin −9.1% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −9.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$120M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 389% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −40%, 1046 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6000 Fair Value HK$0.8200 Bull HK$1.21
Price HK$1.37 · Downside -40.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0038 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$0.6000 HK$0.7700 HK$1.21 80
Growth DCF HK$0.5800 HK$0.7900 HK$1.14 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5300 HK$0.7600 HK$1.21 72
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6000 HK$0.7700 HK$1.21 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5300 HK$0.7600 HK$1.21 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.16 HK$4.22 HK$8.08 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5400 HK$0.8200 HK$1.09 67
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.51 HK$3.45 HK$7.23 63
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$3.25 HK$4.27 HK$5.29 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.4800 HK$0.6000 HK$0.7200 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.5800 HK$0.7900 HK$1.14 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5300 HK$0.8100 HK$1.24 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 98
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 96
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 100
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 94
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2006: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2006.
Revenue growth 1 year
−74.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.7% (2021) → −14.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.7% a year for the price.

1046 screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 247 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −40.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −9.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −9.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −72.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 10.34× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 38.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.85× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Netflix, Inc NFLX $62.15 $68.96 +11% vs 1046
Fox Corporation FOX $61.11 $65.92 +8% vs 1046
Universal Music Group UMG €17.63 €18.89 +7% vs 1046
Formula One Group FWONK $109.04 $112.18 +3% vs 1046
The Walt Disney Company DIS $118.97 $101.07 −15% vs 1046
News Corporation NWS $29.89 $17.05 −43% vs 1046
Bolloré SE BOL €3.70 €1.97 −47% vs 1046
TKO Group TKO $195.42 $69.66 −64% vs 1046
Warner Music Group WMG $32.30 $10.61 −67% vs 1046
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.45 $47.75 −73% vs 1046

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Universe International Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universe International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1046

Frequently asked questions

Is Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8200 versus a price of HK$1.37, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1046?
Our model-based fair value for Universe International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.8200 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.37.
What is the quality score of 1046?
Universe International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.8200 (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6000, optimistic scenario HK$1.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universe International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.8200, about 40% lower versus a price of HK$1.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6000, optimistic scenario HK$1.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Universe International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$120M (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Universe International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by 27.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue fell 27.6 % per year. As of Nov 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1046 use?
Our models discount Universe International Holdings Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Universe International Holdings Ltd that is +27.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Universe International Holdings Ltd shrank 27.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Universe International Holdings Ltd (+27.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.60 %: that much free cash flow Universe International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universe International Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.8200 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of HK$1.37. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Universe International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 1046 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.37, fair value HK$0.8200, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1046?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8200). For Universe International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universe International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Universe International Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.37; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1046?
Our models span a range for Universe International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6000, base HK$0.8200, optimistic HK$1.21 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price HK$1.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 1046?
The PEG ratio of Universe International Holdings Ltd is 0.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 14, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universe International Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity −4.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1046 from its 52-week high?
Universe International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.37, about 11% below its 52-week high of HK$1.54 and 389% above the low of HK$0.2800 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universe International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universe International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price HK$1.37, calculated fair value HK$0.8200 (−40%), Quality Score 69/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1046 calculated?
We run Universe International Holdings Ltd through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.8200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Universe International Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$1.37. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.8200, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universe International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.6000 to HK$1.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Universe International Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The market capitalisation of Universe International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.2B (≈ $158M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Universe International Holdings Ltd is 10.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Earnings per share at Universe International Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The net margin of Universe International Holdings Ltd is −9.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universe International Holdings Ltd is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universe International Holdings Ltd is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
The operating margin of Universe International Holdings Ltd is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Revenue at Universe International Holdings Ltd is down 72.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046)?
Earnings per share at Universe International Holdings Ltd are growing 10.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Universe International Holdings Ltd (1046) hold?
Universe International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$185M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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