Universe Entertainment and Culture Group (1046) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$335M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +17.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2260 – HK$0.7200 · fair‑value band HK$0.2500 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.4400 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group (1046) currently trades at HK$0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Universe Entertainment and Culture Group generated revenue of HK$281M at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 76.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$128M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2500 (bear case) to HK$0.3200 (bull case); at HK$0.4400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -36%, 1046 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.8600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the video and film distribution and exhibition, and film rights and television series licensing and sub-licensing businesses.
Full company description
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the video and film distribution and exhibition, and film rights and television series licensing and sub-licensing businesses. It operates through Video Distribution, Film Distribution and Exhibition, Licensing and Sub-Licensing of Film Rights; Trading, Wholesaling, and Retailing of Optical Products and Watches Products; Leasing of Investment Properties; Securities Investments; Financial Printing Services; and Others segments. The company offers film production; securities investment; and financial printing services, including typesetting, translation, printing, design, distribution, and other related services. It is also involved in the entertainment business; leasing of investment properties; investment in films and television production, as well as concerts and licensing of film rights; management of contracted artistes; licensing and sub-licensing of music programmes; and wholesale and retail of watches and optical products. In addition, the company operates a model agency and optical shops; and engages as an advertising and purchasing agent. It operates in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, and internationally. Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited was formerly known as Universe International Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited in October 2018. Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group reported revenue of HK$473M in FY2025 versus HK$603M in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$63.2M in FY2025.
1046 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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