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Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd HK$28.22, price HK$18.07, upside +56.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · Home China · ISIN CNE100000304

DE Some data Oct 3, 2026

Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd

1072 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$28.22 · Strongly undervalued (+56.2%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!3.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$43.63 HK$4.80 Fair Value HK$28.22 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.80 – HK$43.63 · fair‑value band HK$21.16 – HK$35.27 · the HK$18.07 price screens below the HK$28.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of power generation equipment in China and internationally.

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Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of power generation equipment in China and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Renewable Energy Equipment, High-Efficient Clean Energy Equipment, Engineering and Supply Chain, Modern Manufacturing Services Business, and Emerging Growth Industries. It offers power generation equipment for wind, solar, hydro, nuclear, gas, and thermal power, including hydro-generating units, steam turbine generators, wind power units, power station steam turbines, and power station boilers. The company also provides engineering contracting and services to global energy operators; trade and logistics services; chemical containers; energy-saving and environmental protection equipment; power electronics and control systems; and hydrogen energy equipment. In addition, it offers science and technology promotion and application services, heat production, and research and experimental development services, as well as power generators, generating sets, and general equipment. The company was formerly known as Dongfang Electric Machinery Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited in January 2008. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China. Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Dongfang Electric Corporation.

Stock analysis

Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) currently trades at HK$18.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$28.22, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$33.22 per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$18.07 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$10.63, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: HK$21.16 (bear) to HK$35.27 (bull), the price of HK$18.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd reported revenue of 78.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 47.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.8B CNY in FY2025, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$73.2B (≈ $9.3B) · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.09 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 56%, 1072 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$21.16 Fair Value HK$28.22 Bull HK$35.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.3638 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$10.06 HK$13.94 HK$21.32 76
Residual Income HK$13.18 HK$14.16 HK$16.11 76
EPV HK$18.98 HK$20.98 HK$22.70 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$10.06 HK$13.94 HK$21.32 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$9.14 HK$56.41 HK$78.74 63
Lynch FV HK$16.20 HK$23.14 HK$30.08 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$16.20 HK$23.14 HK$30.08 57
EPV HK$18.98 HK$20.98 HK$22.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$21.16 HK$28.22 HK$35.27 63
P/S Multiple HK$17.13 HK$22.84 HK$28.55 58
P/B Multiple HK$17.13 HK$22.84 HK$28.55 55
EV/EBIT HK$27.73 HK$34.85 HK$41.97 66
EV/EBITDA HK$26.67 HK$33.44 HK$40.21 67
EV/Revenue HK$21.61 HK$28.15 HK$34.68 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$7.93 HK$10.63 HK$15.86 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$13.18 HK$14.16 HK$16.11 76
ROIC Compounder HK$20.87 HK$27.18 HK$33.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$23.25 HK$33.22 HK$43.19 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.0% vs 11.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 790 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 8.64× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)67 · sector 26

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1072

Frequently asked questions

Is Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$28.22 versus a price of HK$18.07, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1072?
Our model-based fair value for Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is HK$28.22 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$18.07.
What is the quality score of 1072?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$28.22 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$21.16, optimistic scenario HK$35.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$28.22, about +56% upside versus a price of HK$18.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$21.16, optimistic scenario HK$35.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.36% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd it is HK$28.22 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$18.07. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 1072 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$18.07, fair value HK$28.22, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1072?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$18.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$28.22). For Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd the two are HK$10.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd at about HK$73.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$18.07; our models calculate a fair value of HK$28.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1072?
Our models span a range for Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd: cautious scenario HK$21.16, base HK$28.22, optimistic HK$35.27 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$18.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1072?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$28.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 8.6, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 11.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 1072?
The PEG ratio of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 8.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1072 from its 52-week high?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd trades at HK$18.07, about 59% below its 52-week high of HK$43.63 and 9% above the low of HK$16.51 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$28.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$18.07, calculated fair value HK$28.22 (+56%), Quality Score 40/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1072 calculated?
We run Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$28.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$18.07. Our model-based fair value is HK$28.22, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$21.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) come from?
Earnings per share at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd grew +11.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin +11.0 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The market capitalisation of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is HK$73.2B (≈ $9.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Earnings per share at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd are HK$1.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The dividend yield of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 3.4% (payout 55.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The net margin of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
The operating margin of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Revenue at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is growing +5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072)?
Earnings per share at Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd are growing +24.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) generate?
The free cash flow of Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd is −2.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd (1072) hold?
Dongfang Electric Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 17.6B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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