South Manganese Investment Limited (1091) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$2.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −9.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2588). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1710 – HK$1.75 · fair‑value band HK$0.1546 – HK$0.2588 · the HK$0.3700 price screens above the HK$0.2085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
South Manganese Investment Limited (1091) currently trades at HK$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2085, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, South Manganese Investment Limited generated revenue of HK$6.4B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 53.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at HK$1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1546 (bear case) to HK$0.2588 (bull case); at HK$0.3700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -44%, 1091 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.02) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
South Manganese Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manganese mining, ore processing, and downstream processing operations in Mainland China, rest of Asia, Europe, and North America. It operates through four segments: Manganese Mining, EMM and Alloying Materials Production, Battery Materials Production, and Other Business.
Full company description
South Manganese Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manganese mining, ore processing, and downstream processing operations in Mainland China, rest of Asia, Europe, and North America. It operates through four segments: Manganese Mining, EMM and Alloying Materials Production, Battery Materials Production, and Other Business. The Manganese Mining segment mines and produces manganese products, including manganese concentrates and natural discharging manganese powder and sand. The EMM and Alloying Materials Production segment mines and processes ores used in hydrometallurgical processing for/and production of electrolytic manganese metal and manganese briquette, and pyrometallurgical processing to produce silicomanganese alloy and ferromanganese. The Battery Materials Production segment manufactures and sells battery material products, such as electrolytic manganese dioxide, manganese sulfate, lithium manganese oxide, lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide, and trimanganese tetraoxide. The Other Business segment trades in various commodities comprising manganese ores, EMM, manganese alloys, and non-manganese metals; sells scraps; and rents investment properties and leasehold land, as well as invests in companies engaged in the mining and production of non-manganese metals and trading business. It is also involved in production of sulphuric acid and steam; trading of manganese; and mines and sells manganese ore/gabon products. The company was formerly known as CITIC Dameng Holdings Limited and changed its name to South Manganese Investment Limited in February 2021. South Manganese Investment Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
South Manganese Investment Limited reported revenue of HK$6.4B in FY2025 versus HK$12.8B in FY2021, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$167M in FY2025, compounding −22.1%/yr from FY2021.
1091 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 478 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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