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Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd (1132) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$196M

OS Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd 1132 · HK
PriceHK$0.1100
Fair ValueHK$0.2949
Upside+168.1%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2256 – HK$0.3565 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.3040 to HK$0.2949 (−3.0%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +39.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 168% undervalued on our models.

Fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, review alerts and the diversification check: 14 days of Pro free, no card.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2256). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1540 HK$0.0310 Fair Value HK$0.2949 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0310 – HK$0.1540 · fair‑value band HK$0.2256 – HK$0.3565 · the HK$0.1100 price screens below the HK$0.2949 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd (1132) currently trades at HK$0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2949, implying the stock looks roughly 168.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$673M at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$86.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2256 (bear case) to HK$0.3565 (bull case); at HK$0.1100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 162% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 168%, 1132 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5800 80
Residual Income HK$0.3100 HK$0.3000 HK$0.2400 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.5200 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6000 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.5000 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7700 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5100 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8700 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.5300 HK$0.6600 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3500 HK$0.4300 HK$0.5200 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4300 HK$0.5700 HK$0.7400 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6100 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1400 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4300 54
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 46
EPV HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.3300 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5500 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3400 HK$0.4200 HK$0.5000 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5800 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9000 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.5200 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3100 HK$0.3000 HK$0.2400 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2500 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4900) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$673M
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.9%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow HK$108M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -90.5%
Net cash HK$86.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated film entertainment company in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, and Taiwan.

Full company description

Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated film entertainment company in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, and Taiwan. It engages in film and video distribution; film and television program production; film exhibition activities; and the provision of promotion, advertising, and consultancy services. The company is also involved in the distribution of motion pictures and its related audio-visual products; holding of trademarks; operation of theatres and stages; and provision of management services, as well as acts as an advertising agent. The company was formerly known as Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings) Limited in August 2009. Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1970 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$673M in FY2025 versus HK$515M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$56.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$673M
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 HK$515M
FY22 HK$696M
FY23 HK$800M
FY24 HK$734M
FY25 HK$673M
Net income
FY21 −HK$315M
FY22 −HK$46.1M
FY23 −HK$90.4M
FY24 −HK$243M
FY25 HK$56.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1132

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +164% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 13
FUTURE0 · sector 8
PAST18 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.44 C$2.82 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 39,950 KRW 82,382 KRW +106%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd (1132) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2949 versus a price of HK$0.1100, about +168% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1132?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2949 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1100.
What is the quality score of 1132?
Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd (1132)?
Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$673M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1132?
The net profit margin of Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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