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Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group (1167) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$3.7B

JP Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group 1167 · HK
PriceHK$5.28
Fair ValueHK$0.6800
Upside-87.1%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4500 – HK$0.8500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4500 to HK$0.8500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$23.10 HK$1.23 Fair Value HK$0.6800 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.23 – HK$23.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.4500 – HK$0.8500 · the HK$5.28 price screens above the HK$0.6800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group (1167) currently trades at HK$5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 87.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$53.5M. It earns a return on equity of -17.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$778M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4500 (bear case) to HK$0.8500 (bull case); at HK$5.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -87%, 1167 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.1900 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4900 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9800 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1900 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4900 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9800 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.6600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$53.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -95.0%
Net margin -273%
Return on equity -17.2%
Free cash flow −HK$187M FY2025
Operating margin -1,292%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0800
Net cash HK$778M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the in-house discovery and development of oncology therapies in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the in-house discovery and development of oncology therapies in the People's Republic of China. The company develops sitneprotafib (JAB-3312), an oral allosteric SHP2 inhibitor that is in a Phase III trial for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); glecirasib (JAB-21822), a KRAS G12C allosteric inhibitor in Phase II trials for NSCLC, multi-tumor basket, and colorectal cancer; JAB-8263, a BET inhibitor that is in a Phase IIa trial for solid tumors and hematologic malignancies; JAB-BX102, a humanized monoclonal antibody against CD73, which is in a Phase I/IIa trial; JAB-2485, a highly selective Aurora Kinase A (AURKA) inhibitor that is in a Phase I/IIa trial for solid tumors; JAB-23E73, an oral small-molecule pan-KRAS inhibitor that is in a Phase I trial for KRAS-mutant PDAC, CRC, NSCLC, and solid tumors; and JAB-30355, a bioavailable small molecule p53 reactivator that is in a Phase I trial for the treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic solid tumors. It is also developing IND-enabling candidates, including JAB-BX467, JAB-BX600, and JAB-BX700 for solid tumor indications. The company has a collaboration agreement with AstraZeneca AB to develop and commercialize JAB-23E73. Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group reported revenue of HK$52.1M in FY2025 versus HK$153M in FY2021, a compound −23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$142M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$52.1M
Latest YoY
−66.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−36.0%
Revenue −23.6%/yr
FY21 HK$153M
FY22 HK$95.7M
FY23 HK$63.5M
FY24 HK$156M
FY25 HK$52.1M
Net income
FY21 −HK$301M
FY22 −HK$372M
FY23 −HK$359M
FY24 −HK$156M
FY25 −HK$142M

1167 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1167

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 600 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -8% · Below median
Revenue growth -95% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 8.91× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 317,500 KRW 39,476 KRW -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group (1167) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6800 versus a price of HK$5.28, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1167?
Our model-based fair value for Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group is HK$0.6800 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.28.
What is the quality score of 1167?
Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group (1167)?
Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$53.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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