Takween Advanced Industries (1201) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 378M SAR

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.03 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The models converge in a tight band (1.88 SAR to 2.03 SAR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range 4.21 SAR – 8.12 SAR · fair‑value band 1.88 SAR – 2.03 SAR · the 4.95 SAR price screens above the 2.03 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Takween Advanced Industries (1201) currently trades at 4.95 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.03 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Takween Advanced Industries generated revenue of 674M SAR at a net margin of -31.4%. Revenue grew 49.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -76.7%. Net debt stands at 567M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.88 SAR (bear case) to 2.03 SAR (bull case); at 4.95 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -59%, 1201 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Takween Advanced Industries produces and sells plastic packaging products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Arab Republic of Egypt, and internationally. It operates through Food packaging and Industrial packaging segments.

Full company description

Takween Advanced Industries produces and sells plastic packaging products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Arab Republic of Egypt, and internationally. It operates through Food packaging and Industrial packaging segments. The company offers polyethylene terephthalate (PET) preforms for bottle manufacturing in the food, beverage, and dairy industries; PET and HDPE bottles for dairy, beverages, food, and personal care applications; closures; and thermoformed, and In-Mold Labeling (IML) packaging solutions. It also provides shrink films for food, beverage, and industrial applications; PS and PP sheet rolls; plastic crates and pallets; and flexible packaging solutions, include custom plastic bags for food, retail, and industrial applications; and specialized industrial plastic, including drums, Jerry cans, form-fill & seal (FFS) film, HDPE insulation film, and greenhouse plastic rolls. In addition, the company provides disposable polystyrene cups, lids, and other plastic related products; and non-woven fabric products. Further, it engages manufacture, wholesale, and retail trading of plastic containers and polyethylene cups, rolls, and bags; and management and operation of industrial centers. Additionally, the company owns land; establishes industrial institutes, and provides and coordinates training courses related to the development of plastic products; and establishes, manages, operates, and maintains various industrial projects, as well as engages in the import and export, wholesale, and retail of plastic products. The company was formerly known as Al-Othman Plastic Products. Takween Advanced Industries was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Al Khobar, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Takween Advanced Industries reported revenue of 602M SAR in FY2025 versus 839M SAR in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −202M SAR in FY2025.

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Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.