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Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd (1202) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$596M (≈ $76.0M) · ISIN CNE1000002C2

What is Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd really worth?

CP Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd 1202 · HK
PriceHK$1.51
Fair ValueHK$0.2400
Upside−84.1%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 529% above our fair value of HK$0.2400.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd is HK$0.2400 per share against a price of HK$1.51, so the fair value sits 84% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100

For context

·0.66% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3000

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1700 to HK$0.2400 (+41.2%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +0.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.20 HK$0.4913 Fair Value HK$0.2400 Nov 2019 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4913 – HK$2.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3000 · the HK$1.51 price screens above the HK$0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd (1202) currently trades at HK$1.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 529.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.31 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$1.51 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$366M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 41.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$363M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1800 (bear case) to HK$0.3000 (bull case); at HK$1.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −84%, 1202 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence HK$1.03 HK$1.06 HK$1.11 77
Residual Income HK$1.23 HK$1.10 HK$0.7000 75
EPV HK$1.00 HK$1.01 HK$1.01 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence HK$1.03 HK$1.06 HK$1.11 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 65
EPV HK$1.00 HK$1.01 HK$1.01 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1600 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 61
P/S Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 56
P/B Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 53
EV/EBIT HK$1.11 HK$1.17 HK$1.23 65
EV/EBITDA HK$1.74 HK$2.01 HK$2.29 66
EV/Revenue HK$1.01 HK$1.06 HK$1.10 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9800 HK$1.31 HK$1.95 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.23 HK$1.10 HK$0.7000 75
ROIC Compounder HK$1.00 HK$1.01 HK$1.01 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 66

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.31) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 149.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 1.21 P/E × margin
Dividend yield 0.7%
Net margin 0.8% FY2025
Return on equity 0.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −1.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$366M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.2% 3y avg +6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −81.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$63.6M FY2025
Net cash HK$363M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of telecommunications cables in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of telecommunications cables in the People's Republic of China. It offers electric wires and cables, optical fiber and cables, wire and cable specific materials, irradiation processing, cable accessories, special equipment, equipment, and various information industrial products. The company is also involved in the production and sale of copper cables, optical cables, and related products. In addition, it provides agency and processing services. The company was formerly known as Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Company Limited and changed its name to Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited in August 2022. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China. Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Potevio Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd reported revenue of 366M CNY in FY2025 versus 300M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$366M
Latest YoY
+21.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.4%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +3.2% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+2.5%
Dividend yield0.7%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24.6% (2020) → 1.1% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop195% (2012) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 52% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 300M CNY
FY22 304M CNY
FY23 404M CNY
FY24 302M CNY
FY25 366M CNY
Net income
FY21 −52.3M CNY
FY22 −2.2M CNY
FY23 2.8M CNY
FY24 1.1M CNY
FY25 3.0M CNY

1202 screens 529% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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HK$0.2400 −529%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1202.HK

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 149.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 37
PAST2 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND13 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $109.20 $61.53 −44%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.21 $3.78 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.13 $19.85 +96%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd (1202) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$1.51, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1202?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd is HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.51.
What is the quality score of 1202?
Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd (1202)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2400, about −84% upside versus a price of HK$1.51 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd (1202)?
Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$366M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1202?
The net profit margin of Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Chengdu PUTIAN Telecommunications Cable Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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