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Shuanghua Holdings (1241) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$78.7M

SH Shuanghua Holdings 1241 · HK
PriceHK$0.1380
Fair ValueHK$0.1300
Upside-5.8%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -41.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +12.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0800 to HK$0.1600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2500 HK$0.0500 Fair Value HK$0.1300 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0500 – HK$0.2500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1600 · the HK$0.1380 price screens above the HK$0.1300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shuanghua Holdings (1241) currently trades at HK$0.1380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shuanghua Holdings generated revenue of HK$45.5M at a net margin of -41.4%. Revenue grew 47.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$77.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0800 (bear case) to HK$0.1600 (bull case); at HK$0.1380, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -6%, 1241 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1900 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3700 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1900 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3700 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$45.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +47.1%
Net margin -41.4%
Return on equity -7.5%
Free cash flow −HK$1.8M FY2025
Operating margin -36.6%
More key figures
Net cash HK$77.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shuanghua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the refrigeration field in China. It operates through Food Supply Business and Supply Chain Management Business segments.

Full company description

Shuanghua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the refrigeration field in China. It operates through Food Supply Business and Supply Chain Management Business segments. The company offers self-owned cold storage and cold chain services, such as loading and unloading platform, stacking operation, monitoring, packaging equipment, and sorting and packaging; and customized products and services, including cardboard boxes, frame packaging, and exquisite small packaging. It is also involved in the food supply business of high-end fruits, and other agricultural and sideline products comprising berries, citrus, drupes, melons and fruits, and others; sale, import, and export of air-conditioner parts and components; and research and development of automobile parts. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Shuanghua Autoparts Co., Ltd. Shuanghua Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shuanghua Holdings reported revenue of HK$45.5M in FY2025 versus HK$32.7M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$18.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$45.5M
Latest YoY
−45.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.8%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 HK$32.7M
FY22 HK$20.4M
FY23 HK$101M
FY24 HK$82.8M
FY25 HK$45.5M
Net income
FY21 −HK$18.6M
FY22 −HK$19.9M
FY23 −HK$12.1M
FY24 −HK$16.9M
FY25 −HK$18.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shuanghua Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1241

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −6% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 47% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,232 ₹426.57 -65%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,126 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 71,500 KRW 196,479 KRW +175%
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Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND ₹2,497 ₹1,211 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shuanghua Holdings (1241) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1300 versus a price of HK$0.1380, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1241?
Our model-based fair value for Shuanghua Holdings is HK$0.1300 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1380.
What is the quality score of 1241?
Shuanghua Holdings has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shuanghua Holdings (1241)?
Shuanghua Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$45.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1241?
The net profit margin of Shuanghua Holdings is about -41.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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