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Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd HK$0.16, price HK$0.17, upside -4.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG811581001

SH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Shuanghua Holdings Ltd

1241 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.1600 · Fairly valued (−4.2%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -41.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2500 HK$0.0500 Fair Value HK$0.1600 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0500 – HK$0.2500 · fair‑value band HK$0.1000 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.1670 price screens above the HK$0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Shuanghua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the refrigeration field in China. It operates through Food Supply Business and Supply Chain Management Business segments.

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Shuanghua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the refrigeration field in China. It operates through Food Supply Business and Supply Chain Management Business segments. The company offers self-owned cold storage and cold chain services, such as loading and unloading platform, stacking operation, monitoring, packaging equipment, and sorting and packaging; and customized products and services, including cardboard boxes, frame packaging, and exquisite small packaging. It is also involved in the food supply business of high-end fruits, and other agricultural and sideline products comprising berries, citrus, drupes, melons and fruits, and others; sale, import, and export of air-conditioner parts and components; and research and development of automobile parts. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Shuanghua Autoparts Co., Ltd. Shuanghua Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241) currently trades at HK$0.1670, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1600, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.4%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1000 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.1670 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shuanghua Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 45.5M CNY in FY2025 versus 32.7M CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −18.8M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$109M (≈ $13.8M) · P/S ratio 1.73 · Net margin −41.4% · Return on equity −7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Operating margin −36.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$45.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +47.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −4%, 1241 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1000 Fair Value HK$0.1600 Bull HK$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−45.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29.6% (2020) → −38.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Shuanghua Holdings Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 680 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −4.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −41.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −36.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 47.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)28 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $86.07 $49.20 −43%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,872 $2,468 −14%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 367,500 KRW 638,183 KRW +74%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥52.47 ¥78.11 +49%
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €107.70 €72.88 −32%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.71 ₹96.97 −41%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $126.95 $57.98 −54%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.00 $69.37 +7%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥46.44 ¥28.28 −39%

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Shuanghua Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1600 −4%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shuanghua Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1241

Frequently asked questions

Is Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1600 versus a price of HK$0.1670, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1241?
Our model-based fair value for Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1670.
What is the quality score of 1241?
Shuanghua Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1000, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shuanghua Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1600, about −4% upside versus a price of HK$0.1670 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1000, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
Shuanghua Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$45.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shuanghua Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1670. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shuanghua Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1241 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1670, fair value HK$0.1600, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1241?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1670); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1600). For Shuanghua Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0070 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shuanghua Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Shuanghua Holdings Ltd at about HK$109M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1670; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1241?
Our models span a range for Shuanghua Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1000, base HK$0.1600, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1670). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.5%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1241 from its 52-week high?
Shuanghua Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1670, about 32% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2460 and 43% above the low of HK$0.1170 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shuanghua Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shuanghua Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1670, calculated fair value HK$0.1600 (−4%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1241 calculated?
We run Shuanghua Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Shuanghua Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1670. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1600, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shuanghua Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1000 to HK$0.2000) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The market capitalisation of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is HK$109M (≈ $13.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is 1.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The net margin of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is −41.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
The operating margin of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is −36.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241)?
Revenue at Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is growing +47.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241) generate?
The free cash flow of Shuanghua Holdings Ltd is −HK$1.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shuanghua Holdings Ltd (1241) hold?
Shuanghua Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$77.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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