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SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of SPT Energy Group Inc HK$0.34, price HK$0.21, upside +61.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · HK · Based in China · ISIN KYG8405W1069

SE SPT Energy Group Inc logo Thin data Oct 2, 2026

SPT Energy Group Inc

1251 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$0.3360 · Strongly undervalued (+61.5%)
Low debt
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr in CNY)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Loss-making · -4.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 13/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4200 HK$0.0650 Fair Value HK$0.3360 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0650 – HK$0.4200 · fair‑value band HK$0.2299 – HK$0.4244 · the HK$0.2080 price screens below the HK$0.3360 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

SPT Energy Group Inc., an investment holding company, provides integrated oilfield services in the People's Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Singapore, the Middle East, Canada, and Indonesia. It operates through the Drilling, Well Completion, Reservoir, and Others segments.

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The company offers drilling rig service, workover rig service, complex well workover and fishing service, rotary geosteering technology service, vertical drilling technology service, horizontal drilling technology service, side tracking technology service, underbalanced drilling technology service, fine managed pressure drilling technology service, cementing services, and drilling fluid services.

It also provides well completion tools, products and services to customers, including well completion project design, well completion tools services, and stimulation and fracturing services; geology research and oil reservoir research services, dynamic monitoring service, oil testing service, oil recovery technology service, coiled tubing service, and repair service of surface production devices.

In addition, the company is involved in the sale of natural gas; and oil and gas exploration and mining. SPT Energy Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) currently trades at HK$0.2080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3360, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2299 (bear) to HK$0.4244 (bull), the price of HK$0.2080 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SPT Energy Group Inc reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −123M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$453M (≈ $57.8M) · P/S ratio 0.27 · Net margin −7.3% · Return on equity −8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% · Operating margin 3.3% · Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 62%, 1251 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2299 Fair Value HK$0.3360 Bull HK$0.4244
Price HK$0.2080 · Upside +61.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2700 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5300 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2700 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5300 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 17
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 26
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.0% (2020) → −4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 43 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +61.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 70

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥12.59 ¥15.47 +23% vs 1251
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR $25.30 $28.71 +13% vs 1251
Suncor Energy Inc SU $75.89 $70.17 −8% vs 1251
TotalEnergies SE TTE €80.17 €71.67 −11% vs 1251
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 398.40 kr 345.87 −13% vs 1251
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 25.28 SAR 20.14 SAR −20% vs 1251
Imperial Oil Limited IMO $122.34 $94.61 −23% vs 1251
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.42 ¥3.74 −31% vs 1251
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $174.08 $90.40 −48% vs 1251
Chevron Corporation CVX $215.00 $92.05 −57% vs 1251

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SPT Energy Group Inc · Fair Value
HK$0.3360 +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SPT Energy Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1251

Frequently asked questions

Is SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3360 versus a price of HK$0.2080, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1251?
Our model-based fair value for SPT Energy Group Inc is HK$0.3360 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2080.
What is the quality score of 1251?
SPT Energy Group Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3360 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2299, optimistic scenario HK$0.4244. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SPT Energy Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3360, about +62% upside versus a price of HK$0.2080 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2299, optimistic scenario HK$0.4244. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
SPT Energy Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SPT Energy Group Inc it is HK$0.3360 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2080. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SPT Energy Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1251 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2080, fair value HK$0.3360, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1251?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2080); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3360). For SPT Energy Group Inc the two are HK$0.1280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SPT Energy Group Inc worth?
The market values SPT Energy Group Inc at about HK$453M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2080; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3360 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1251?
Our models span a range for SPT Energy Group Inc: cautious scenario HK$0.2299, base HK$0.3360, optimistic HK$0.4244 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price HK$0.2080). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
Balance-sheet figures for SPT Energy Group Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −8.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1251 from its 52-week high?
SPT Energy Group Inc trades at HK$0.2080, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3300 and 55% above the low of HK$0.1340 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3360 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SPT Energy Group Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SPT Energy Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price HK$0.2080, calculated fair value HK$0.3360 (+62%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1251 calculated?
We run SPT Energy Group Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3360, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. SPT Energy Group Inc currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was HK$0.2080. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3360, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SPT Energy Group Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2299). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2299 to HK$0.4244) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SPT Energy Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The market capitalisation of SPT Energy Group Inc is HK$453M (≈ $57.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SPT Energy Group Inc is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The net margin of SPT Energy Group Inc is −7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SPT Energy Group Inc is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SPT Energy Group Inc is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
The operating margin of SPT Energy Group Inc is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
Revenue at SPT Energy Group Inc is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
Earnings per share at SPT Energy Group Inc are growing +122% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) generate?
The free cash flow of SPT Energy Group Inc is −48.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) carry?
The net debt of SPT Energy Group Inc is 246M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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