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SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$498M (≈ $63.6M) · ISIN KYG8405W1069

What is SPT Energy Group Inc really worth?

SE SPT Energy Group Inc 1251 · HK
PriceHK$0.1870
Fair ValueHK$0.7200
Upside+285.0%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, trading 74% below our fair value of HK$0.7200.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3800 – HK$1.02

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −16.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.3800 to HK$1.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4200 HK$0.0650 Fair Value HK$0.7200 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0650 – HK$0.4200 · fair‑value band HK$0.3800 – HK$1.02 · the HK$0.1870 price screens below the HK$0.7200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) currently trades at HK$0.1870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4700 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.1870 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3100, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, SPT Energy Group Inc generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of −7.4%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −13.6%. Net debt stands at HK$246M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3800 (bear case) to HK$1.02 (bull case); at HK$0.1870, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 285%, 1251 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.3100 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7700 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3100 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6000 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4600 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3100 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7700 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3100 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6000 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4600 54

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.4700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.3100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.29 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200
Net margin −7.3% FY2025
Return on equity −13.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% avg 5y
Operating margin −5.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3% 3y avg −1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +122%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$48.2M FY2025
Net debt HK$246M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SPT Energy Group Inc., an investment holding company, provides integrated oilfield services in the People's Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Singapore, the Middle East, Canada, and Indonesia. It operates through the Drilling, Well Completion, Reservoir, and Others segments.

Full company description

SPT Energy Group Inc., an investment holding company, provides integrated oilfield services in the People's Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Singapore, the Middle East, Canada, and Indonesia. It operates through the Drilling, Well Completion, Reservoir, and Others segments. The company offers drilling rig service, workover rig service, complex well workover and fishing service, rotary geosteering technology service, vertical drilling technology service, horizontal drilling technology service, side tracking technology service, underbalanced drilling technology service, fine managed pressure drilling technology service, cementing services, and drilling fluid services. It also provides well completion tools, products and services to customers, including well completion project design, well completion tools services, and stimulation and fracturing services; geology research and oil reservoir research services, dynamic monitoring service, oil testing service, oil recovery technology service, coiled tubing service, and repair service of surface production devices. In addition, the company is involved in the sale of natural gas; and oil and gas exploration and mining. SPT Energy Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SPT Energy Group Inc reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −123M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.7B
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +1.2%/yr
FY21 1.6B CNY
FY22 1.8B CNY
FY23 1.9B CNY
FY24 1.7B CNY
FY25 1.7B CNY
Net income
FY21 8.8M CNY
FY22 13.2M CNY
FY23 16.7M CNY
FY24 −256M CNY
FY25 −123M CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SPT Energy Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1251

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Integrated · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 7
FUTURE27 · sector 12
PAST0 · sector 43
HEALTH95 · sector 86
DIVIDEND100 · sector 73

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $156.44 $88.98 −43%
Chevron Corporation CVX $201.86 $90.66 −55%
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥11.23 ¥15.47 +38%
Shell plc SHELL €40.28 €39.46 −2%
TotalEnergies SE TOTB €75.55 €69.02 −9%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A XPBRA €7.11 €2.03 −71%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.29 ¥3.67 −31%
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 395.90 kr 338.01 −15%
Suncor Energy Inc SU C$91.13 C$59.11 −35%
Eni S.p.A E $55.12 $32.53 −41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SPT Energy Group Inc (1251) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7200 versus a price of HK$0.1870, about +285% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1251?
Our model-based fair value for SPT Energy Group Inc is HK$0.7200 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1870.
What is the quality score of 1251?
SPT Energy Group Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SPT Energy Group Inc (1251)?
SPT Energy Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1251?
The net profit margin of SPT Energy Group Inc is about −7.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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