China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company HK$0.59, price HK$0.20, upside +200.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0940 – HK$3.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.2736 – HK$0.5850 · the HK$0.1950 price screens below the HK$0.5850 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.
Follow China Green Broad Ecological Technology in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether China Green Broad Ecological Technology is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides landscape design, and gardening and related services in the People's Republic of China.
Show moreShow less
The company operates through Landscape Gardening Services; O&M Services for Hydroelectric Power Stations; and Others segments.
It is involved in the construction, design, and maintenance services related to landscape; property management services facilitating investment property letting service and subleasing; and property management operation services.
The company also engages in investment and financing activities; operation and maintenance service for hydroelectric power stations; provision of planning and design, project construction, and commercial operation. In addition, it undertakes municipal and city level landscape projects.
In addition, the company provides project management services. The company was formerly known as China Greenland Broad Greenstate Group Company Limited and changed its name to China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company Limited in December 2025.
The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) currently trades at HK$0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5850, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6500 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.1950 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.0900, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2736 (bear) to HK$0.5850 (bull), the price of HK$0.1950 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company reported revenue of 58.2M CNY in FY2025 versus 267M CNY in FY2021, a compound −31.7%/yr. Reported net income was −137M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$117M (≈ $14.9M) · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0500 · Net margin −236% · Return on equity −145% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% · Operating margin −165% · Revenue (TTM) HK$59.7M.
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 200%, 1253 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.2736Fair Value HK$0.5850BullHK$0.5850
Price HK$0.1950 · Upside +200.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+216.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −21.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.9% (2020) → −260.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.1% a year for the price.
Compare China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 794 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−6.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−165.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth146.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.25× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow0.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1253
Frequently asked questions
Is China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5850 versus a price of HK$0.1950, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1253?
Our model-based fair value for China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is HK$0.5850 (as of Oct 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1950.
What is the quality score of 1253?
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.5850 (as of Oct 16, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2736, optimistic scenario HK$0.5850. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.5850, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.1950 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2736, optimistic scenario HK$0.5850. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$59.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 16, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -38.8 % per year. As of Oct 16, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1253 use?
Our models discount China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company grew -38.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.55 %: that much free cash flow China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company it is HK$0.5850 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1950. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 16, 2026, 1253 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1950, fair value HK$0.5850, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1253?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.5850). For China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company the two are HK$0.3900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company worth?
The market values China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company at about HK$117M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 16, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.5850 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1253?
Our models span a range for China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company: cautious scenario HK$0.2736, base HK$0.5850, optimistic HK$0.5850 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026, price HK$0.1950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (as of Oct 16, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1253 from its 52-week high?
China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company trades at HK$0.1950, about 25% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2600 and 107% above the low of HK$0.0940 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.5850 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 16, 2026: price HK$0.1950, calculated fair value HK$0.5850 (+200%), Quality Score 42/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1253 calculated?
We run China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.5850, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was HK$0.1950. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.5850, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2736). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2736 to HK$0.5850) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company
How large is the market capitalisation of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The market capitalisation of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is HK$117M (≈ $14.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is 1.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Earnings per share at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company are HK$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The net margin of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is −236% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is −145% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
The operating margin of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is −165% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Revenue at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is growing +146% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253)?
Earnings per share at China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company are growing −97.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company (1253) carry?
The net debt of China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company is HK$680M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company in the live analysis
One click puts China Green Broad Ecological Technology Company on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 16, 2026