Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd (1277) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd HK$2.33, price HK$1.87, upside +24.6%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd
1277 · HKUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2444 – HK$2.52 · fair‑value band HK$1.22 – HK$3.88 · the HK$1.87 price screens below the HK$2.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Kinetic Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction and sale of coal products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Real Estate and Property Management, and Other.
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Kinetic Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction and sale of coal products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Real Estate and Property Management, and Other. The company focuses on the development of its Dafanpu Coal Mine with a concession area of approximately 9.6 square kilometers located in Zhunge'er Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia, China. It engages in the coal production, trading, washing, loading, and transportation activities; sale and trading of mineral products; breeding, production, and selling of breeding stock; production and sale of wine and fruit wine; and grape planting activities. In addition, the company is involved in the development and sale of real estate; property management; trading of mineral products engineering construction; and manufacturing, wholesale, and trading of tobacco products. The company was formerly known as Kinetic Mines and Energy Limited. Kinetic Development Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Ordos City, China. Kinetic Development Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of King Lok Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd (1277) currently trades at HK$1.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.33, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.99 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$1.87 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.7400, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.22 (bear) to HK$3.88 (bull), the price of HK$1.87 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd reported revenue of 5.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 896M CNY in FY2025, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$15.8B (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 2.57 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1232 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 16.9% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 30.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 25%, 1277 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 87 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.03 | ¥31.96 | −33% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,917 | ₹891.11 | −69% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.83 | ¥28.41 | +10% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥19.76 | ¥9.35 | −53% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥14.01 | ¥14.62 | +4% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹426.10 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 12,100 IDR | 4,698 IDR | −61% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥27.82 | ¥20.72 | −26% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,055 IDR | 243.05 IDR | −77% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥15.35 | ¥6.23 | −59% |
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Key figures of Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd
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