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1286 (1286) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$14.7B

1 1286 1286 · HK
PriceHK$8.03
Fair ValueHK$5.44
Upside-32.3%
Quality59/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.83 – HK$8.81

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −18.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$11.45 HK$2.41 Fair Value HK$5.44 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range HK$2.41 – HK$11.45 · fair‑value band HK$2.83 – HK$8.81 · the HK$8.03 price screens above the HK$5.44 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1286 (1286) currently trades at HK$8.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.44 — implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1286 generated revenue of HK$5.1B at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at HK$1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$5.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 14.3%
Return on equity 14.1%
Free cash flow HK$276M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.4
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1800
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net debt HK$1.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1286 reported revenue of HK$5.1B in FY2025 versus HK$3.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$726M in FY2025, compounding +17.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 HK$3.8B
FY22 HK$4.4B
FY23 HK$4.6B
FY24 HK$4.7B
FY25 HK$5.1B
Net income +17.4%/yr
FY21 HK$383M
FY22 HK$582M
FY23 HK$585M
FY24 HK$644M
FY25 HK$726M

Is 1286 fairly valued? → Check now

Similar stocks

6 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $1,128 $185.61 -84%
SIEGY SIEGY $155.10 $88.93 -43%
SMAWF SMAWF $307.12 $176.28 -43%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.91 -28%
SIE SIE €258.40 €144.67 -44%
Schneider Electric S.E. SBGSF $334.00 $148.44 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1286 (1286) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.44 versus a price of HK$8.03 — about −32% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1286?
Our model-based fair value for 1286 is HK$5.44 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$8.03.
What is the quality score of 1286?
1286 has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1286 (1286)?
1286 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1286?
The net profit margin of 1286 is about 14.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1286 pay a dividend?
1286 currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.