United Wire Factories Company (1301) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what United Wire Factories Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.60 SAR – 44.46 SAR · fair‑value band 6.11 SAR – 7.18 SAR · the 16.70 SAR price screens above the 7.18 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
United Wire Factories Company engages in the wholesale of strips, extrusions, and blocks of metal and iron products for the industrial, construction, and civil sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers steel rebars, wire mesh, block ladder mesh, nails, fences, barbed and concertina wires, and tying wires.
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United Wire Factories Company engages in the wholesale of strips, extrusions, and blocks of metal and iron products for the industrial, construction, and civil sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers steel rebars, wire mesh, block ladder mesh, nails, fences, barbed and concertina wires, and tying wires. The company also provides bailing wires, cloth hangers, welded wires mesh, and staples clips; welded wire mesh sheets; and black annealed and drawn, galvanized, PVC coated, and deformed wires, as well as coated and bulked nails. In addition, it engages in retail trade of construction, building, civil engineering machinery and equipment, and petroleum and heavy equipment and their maintenance. Further, the company engages in the land transportation of goods and retail sale of gifts. It also exports its products. United Wire Factories Company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
United Wire Factories Company (1301) currently trades at 16.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.18 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 132.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 8.49 SAR per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 16.70 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.82 SAR, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 6.11 SAR (bear) to 7.18 SAR (bull), the price of 16.70 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
United Wire Factories Company reported revenue of 771M SAR in FY2025 versus 921M SAR in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −42.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 482M SAR (≈ $128M) · P/E ratio 104.4 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) 0.1600 SAR · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −57%, 1301 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.11 SARFair Value 7.18 SARBull 7.18 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35% vs −23%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare United Wire Factories Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)104.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA4.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)31· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)60· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Wire Factories Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1301
Frequently asked questions
Is United Wire Factories Company (1301) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.18 SAR versus a price of 16.70 SAR, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1301?
Our model-based fair value for United Wire Factories Company is 7.18 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.70 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1301?
United Wire Factories Company has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.18 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.11 SAR, optimistic scenario 7.18 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the United Wire Factories Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.18 SAR, about −57% upside versus a price of 16.70 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.11 SAR, optimistic scenario 7.18 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
United Wire Factories Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 781M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does United Wire Factories Company pay a dividend?
United Wire Factories Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, United Wire Factories Company would have to grow free cash flow by +21.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1301 use?
Our models discount United Wire Factories Company at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For United Wire Factories Company that is +21.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has United Wire Factories Company (1301) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at United Wire Factories Company grew -0.2 % a year. The price currently implies +21.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of United Wire Factories Company (1301) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into United Wire Factories Company (+21.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.80 %: that much free cash flow United Wire Factories Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For United Wire Factories Company it is 7.18 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 16.70 SAR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is United Wire Factories Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1301 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.70 SAR, fair value 7.18 SAR, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1301?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.70 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.18 SAR). For United Wire Factories Company the two are 9.52 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is United Wire Factories Company worth?
The market values United Wire Factories Company at about 482M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 16.70 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 7.18 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1301?
Our models span a range for United Wire Factories Company: cautious scenario 6.11 SAR, base 7.18 SAR, optimistic 7.18 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 16.70 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1301?
United Wire Factories Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 104.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7.18 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Balance-sheet figures for United Wire Factories Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1301 from its 52-week high?
United Wire Factories Company trades at 16.70 SAR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 25.53 SAR and 11% above the low of 15.10 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.18 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to United Wire Factories Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is United Wire Factories Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 16.70 SAR, calculated fair value 7.18 SAR (−57%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1301 calculated?
We run United Wire Factories Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.18 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. United Wire Factories Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The closing price on Sep 20, 2026 was 16.70 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 7.18 SAR, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with United Wire Factories Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.18 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of United Wire Factories Company (1301) come from?
Earnings per share at United Wire Factories Company grew −9.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.6 %, EBIT margin −11.8 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of United Wire Factories Company
How large is the market capitalisation of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The market capitalisation of United Wire Factories Company is 482M SAR (≈ $128M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The price-to-sales ratio of United Wire Factories Company is 0.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Earnings per share at United Wire Factories Company are 0.1600 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 104.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The dividend yield of United Wire Factories Company is 3.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The net margin of United Wire Factories Company is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The return on equity (ROE) of United Wire Factories Company is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of United Wire Factories Company is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
The operating margin of United Wire Factories Company is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Revenue at United Wire Factories Company is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at United Wire Factories Company (1301)?
Earnings per share at United Wire Factories Company are growing −42.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does United Wire Factories Company (1301) hold?
United Wire Factories Company holds more cash than debt, 41.8M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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