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Ocean Plastics Co Ltd (1321) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 7.1B TWD (≈ $223M) · ISIN TW0001321008

What is Ocean Plastics Co Ltd really worth?

OP Ocean Plastics Co Ltd 1321 · TW
Price32.50 TWD
Fair Value7.64 TWD
Upside−76.5%
Quality40/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 325% above our fair value of 7.64 TWD.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Ocean Plastics Co Ltd is 7.64 TWD per share against a price of 32.50 TWD, so the fair value sits 76% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.6% net margin
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 6.98 TWD – 8.64 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 4.10 TWD to 7.64 TWD (+86.3%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.64 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.15 TWD 28.45 TWD Fair Value 7.64 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28.45 TWD – 44.15 TWD · fair‑value band 6.98 TWD – 8.64 TWD · the 32.50 TWD price screens above the 7.64 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ocean Plastics Co Ltd (1321) currently trades at 32.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 325.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 17.28 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 32.50 TWD price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.64 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ocean Plastics Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.5B TWD at a net margin of −5.6%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.3%. Net debt stands at 3.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.98 TWD (bear case) to 8.64 TWD (bull case); at 32.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −76%, 1321 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM best evidence 3.34 TWD 3.64 TWD 4.09 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.34 TWD 4.12 TWD 5.20 TWD 67
NCAV (Graham) 12.90 TWD 17.28 TWD 25.79 TWD 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM best evidence 3.34 TWD 3.64 TWD 4.09 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.34 TWD 4.12 TWD 5.20 TWD 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.90 TWD 17.28 TWD 25.79 TWD 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (17.28 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.64 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.01 TTM
EPS (TTM) −1.25 TWD
Dividend yield 1.2%
Net margin −7.7% FY2025
Return on equity −3.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 2.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 3.5B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −11.1% 3y avg −17.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +273%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 128M TWD FY2025
Net debt 3.8B TWD FY2025 · ≈ 29.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ocean Plastics Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in Taiwan, India, the United States, Mainland China, Japan, and internationally.

Full company description

Ocean Plastics Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in Taiwan, India, the United States, Mainland China, Japan, and internationally. The company offers DMF-free eco-friendly polyurethane (PU) products, including water-based PU leather, films/hyperfoam, bases, and resins; and solvent-free prepolymer polyurethane leather, films, and resins; PU synthetic leather, fiber processing, foamed PU films, adhesives for textile and other laminations, and printing pigments for use in footwear, ball and protective gear, furniture and home products, consumer electronics, bags, garments/textiles, and special applications. It also provides Ozeanwud board and decking, extrusion profiles, and embossed decking products for decking, landscape designs, fences, grillages, and cultural creative product applications; wood plastic composites for use in compounds, decking and railing series, accessories, roof tile fixed strips, and outdoor furniture applications; and PVC sheets for use in stationery, furniture, decoration, packaging, and special grade applications. In addition, the company offers PVC compound pellets and resins; and PVC construction materials, including PVC pipes, water feed, and drainage and sewerage materials. Ocean Plastics Co., Ltd. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ocean Plastics Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −276M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.6B TWD
Latest YoY
−23.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2020) → −3.7% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −13.7%/yr
FY21 6.5B TWD
FY22 6.5B TWD
FY23 4.9B TWD
FY24 4.7B TWD
FY25 3.6B TWD
Net income
FY21 319M TWD
FY22 −42.7M TWD
FY23 193M TWD
FY24 167M TWD
FY25 −276M TWD

1321 screens 325% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ocean Plastics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1321.TW

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth −11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 31.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.20× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 23
HEALTH68 · sector 95
DIVIDEND24 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $485.35 $222.03 −54%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $344.86 $143.38 −58%
Ecolab Inc ECL $286.75 $96.18 −66%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $308.09 $122.14 −60%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,282 CHF 1,498 −54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥77.66 ¥68.03 −12%
500820 500820 ₹2,757 ₹557.43 −80%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 456.40 kr 169.99 −63%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,630 ₹696.23 −74%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $114.22 $71.31 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ocean Plastics Co Ltd (1321) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.64 TWD versus a price of 32.50 TWD, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1321?
Our model-based fair value for Ocean Plastics Co Ltd is 7.64 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1321?
Ocean Plastics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ocean Plastics Co Ltd (1321)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.64 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.98 TWD, optimistic scenario 8.64 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ocean Plastics Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.64 TWD, about −76% upside versus a price of 32.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.98 TWD, optimistic scenario 8.64 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ocean Plastics Co Ltd (1321)?
Ocean Plastics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1321?
The net profit margin of Ocean Plastics Co Ltd is about −5.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ocean Plastics Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ocean Plastics Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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