PPG Industries Inc (PPG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PPG Industries Inc stock $77.68, price $127, that is 39.0% below the price, quality 79 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $88.18 – $156.21 · fair‑value band $51.35 – $113.00 · the $127.27 price screens above the $77.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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PPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes paints, coatings, and specialty materials in the United States, Canada, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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It operates through three segments: Global Architectural Coatings, Performance Coatings, and Industrial Coatings. The Global Architectural Coatings segment supplies a variety of decorative coatings, adhesives, sealants, and finishes, as well as paint strippers, stains, and related chemicals.
Its Performance Coatings segment offers aerospace coatings, automotive refinishing coatings, protective and marine coatings, and traffic solutions comprising paints, thermoplastics, raised pavement markers, and other technologies for pavement marking.
The Industrial Coatings segment provides automotive OEM coatings, industrial coatings, and packaging coatings, as well as specialty products, such as optical monomers and coatings, low-friction coatings, and other specialty products.
The company delivers its products to company-owned stores, home centers and other consumer retail outlets, paint dealers, concessionaires and independent distributors, company-owned distribution networks, and directly to manufacturing companies and retail customers.
PPG Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1883 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
PPG Industries Inc (PPG) currently trades at $127.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $77.68, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $107.80 per share, and 0 of the 21 models we run sit above the $127.27 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $35.02, and 21 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $51.35 (bear) to $113.00 (bull), the price of $127.27 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PPG Industries Inc reported revenue of $15.9B in FY2025 versus $16.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $28.5B Large · P/E ratio 17.9 · P/S ratio 1.71 · EPS (TTM) $7.12 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −39%, PPG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$51.35Fair Value $77.68Bull$113.00
Price $127.27 · Downside -39.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.61 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleAnne M. FoulkesSr. VP, Legal & Spl. Projects3,594 shares at $124.61$447,848Feb 20, 2026
SaleVincent J MoralesSenior VP & CFO3× since Jan 15, 2026: 112,967 shares, avg. $128.45$14.5MFeb 13, 2026
SaleChancey E. HagertySr. VP, Auto. Refinish Ctgs.2,250 shares at $115.59$260,078Jan 29, 2026
Plan buyJuliane M. HefelSr. VP, Ind Coatings & Sp Prod2× since Jun 12, 2026: 25 shares, avg. $110.47$2,753Sep 11, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.9% vs 3.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 14%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.7% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: PPG's main strength lies in targeted aerospace capacity additions for differentiated aircraft windows, while its main weak point remains negative equity and ROE amid broader cyclical pressures.
Main risk: Stricter environmental regulations such as REACH authorizations for substances like OPE in sealants could restrict or delay production of aerospace products, squeezing supply and margins for PPG's transparencies and coatings business.
Bull case: By accelerating development of alternative formulations with its AI-driven R&D tools, PPG could secure new authorizations and sustain or grow its aerospace segment despite chemical restrictions.
Bear case: If key chemical authorizations are denied or lawsuits result in large payouts, PPG could face production constraints in aerospace and higher costs that limit expansion and pressure margins across segments.
PPG is adding capacity at its long-standing Huntsville site to meet rising demand for aircraft cockpit and passenger windows across commercial, military and general aviation. This targets growth in a differentiated part of the specialty chemicals portfolio while the broader business faces typical cyclical pressures. Will the aerospace expansion drive enough margin improvement to overcome headwinds in other segments or will it remain a smaller offset?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 726 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−39.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets19.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)14.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)17.9× · Cheaper than median
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.71× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow24.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG1.72× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)33· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is PPG Industries Inc (PPG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $77.68 versus a price of $127.27, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PPG?
Our model-based fair value for PPG Industries Inc is $77.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $127.27.
What is the quality score of PPG?
PPG Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $77.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $51.35, optimistic scenario $113.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PPG Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $77.68, about 39% lower versus a price of $127.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $51.35, optimistic scenario $113.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
PPG Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does PPG Industries Inc pay a dividend?
PPG Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.26% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PPG Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PPG use?
Our models discount PPG Industries Inc at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PPG Industries Inc that is +15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PPG Industries Inc (PPG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PPG Industries Inc grew +2.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PPG Industries Inc (PPG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PPG Industries Inc (+15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.08 %: that much free cash flow PPG Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PPG Industries Inc it is $77.68 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $127.27. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PPG Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PPG trades above its calculated fair value: price $127.27, fair value $77.68, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($127.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($77.68). For PPG Industries Inc the two are $49.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PPG Industries Inc worth?
The market values PPG Industries Inc at about $28.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $127.27; our models calculate a fair value of $77.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPG?
Our models span a range for PPG Industries Inc: cautious scenario $51.35, base $77.68, optimistic $113.00 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $127.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PPG?
PPG Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $77.68 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 26.8. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
What is the PEG ratio of PPG?
The PEG ratio of PPG Industries Inc is 1.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Balance-sheet figures for PPG Industries Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPG from its 52-week high?
PPG Industries Inc trades at $127.27, about 1% below its 52-week high of $129.16 and 38% above the low of $92.50 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $77.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PPG Industries Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PPG Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $127.27, calculated fair value $77.68 (−39%), Quality Score 79/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPG calculated?
We run PPG Industries Inc through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $77.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. PPG Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $127.27. Our model-based fair value is $77.68, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PPG Industries Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($113.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($51.35 to $113.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of PPG Industries Inc (PPG) come from?
Earnings per share at PPG Industries Inc grew +0.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin +1.9 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PPG Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The market capitalisation of PPG Industries Inc is $28.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PPG Industries Inc is 1.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Earnings per share at PPG Industries Inc are $7.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The dividend yield of PPG Industries Inc is 2.3% (payout 40.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The net margin of PPG Industries Inc is 9.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PPG Industries Inc is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PPG Industries Inc is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
The operating margin of PPG Industries Inc is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Revenue at PPG Industries Inc is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PPG Industries Inc (PPG)?
Earnings per share at PPG Industries Inc are growing +1.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PPG Industries Inc (PPG) carry?
The net debt of PPG Industries Inc is $5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026