Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 46.25 SAR – 116.80 SAR · fair‑value band 49.59 SAR – 159.17 SAR · the 78.55 SAR price screens below the 92.29 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company engages in the production of non-ferrous metal ores and precious metals in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, and platinum deposits.
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Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company engages in the production of non-ferrous metal ores and precious metals in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, and platinum deposits. The company holds interests in the Al Masane Copper Zinc Mine project which consists of an area of 42.07 square kilometers located in Najran, Saudi Arabia; the Guyan Gold Mine project consisting of an area of 10,057 square kilometer located in Najran, Saudi Arabia; and the Moyeath Orebody project located in Najran, Saudi Arabia. It also engages in the wholesaling precious metals and gemstones. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Najran, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) currently trades at 78.55 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 92.29 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 14.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 105.87 SAR per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the 78.55 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.88 SAR, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 49.59 SAR (bear) to 159.17 SAR (bull), the price of 78.55 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company reported revenue of 1.0B SAR in FY2025 versus 587M SAR in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was 281M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.0B SAR (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 19.9 · P/S ratio 5.44 · EPS (TTM) 3.95 SAR · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 27.3% · Return on equity 22.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 17%, 1322 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 49.59 SARFair Value 92.29 SARBull 159.17 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.82 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 36%
2025 sits 114% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 101 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−37% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)25% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1322
Frequently asked questions
Is Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 92.29 SAR versus a price of 78.55 SAR, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1322?
Our model-based fair value for Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 92.29 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78.55 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1322?
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 92.29 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 49.59 SAR, optimistic scenario 159.17 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 92.29 SAR, about +17% upside versus a price of 78.55 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 49.59 SAR, optimistic scenario 159.17 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company pay a dividend?
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company would have to grow free cash flow by +17.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1322 use?
Our models discount Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company that is +17.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company grew +22.3 % a year. The price currently implies +17.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (+17.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.50 %: that much free cash flow Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company it is 92.29 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 78.55 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1322 trades below its calculated fair value: price 78.55 SAR, fair value 92.29 SAR, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1322?
No. The price is what the market pays today (78.55 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (92.29 SAR). For Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company the two are 13.74 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company worth?
The market values Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company at about 7.0B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 78.55 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 92.29 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1322?
Our models span a range for Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company: cautious scenario 49.59 SAR, base 92.29 SAR, optimistic 159.17 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 78.55 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1322?
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 92.29 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 22.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1322 from its 52-week high?
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company trades at 78.55 SAR, about 33% below its 52-week high of 117.50 SAR and 33% above the low of 59.27 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 92.29 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 78.55 SAR, calculated fair value 92.29 SAR (+17%), Quality Score 81/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1322 calculated?
We run Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 92.29 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was 78.55 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 92.29 SAR, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide (49.59 SAR to 159.17 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The market capitalisation of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 7.0B SAR (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 5.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Earnings per share at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company are 3.95 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The dividend yield of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 3.2% (payout 64.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The net margin of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 27.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 22.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
The operating margin of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 17.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Revenue at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is growing −8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322)?
Earnings per share at Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company are growing −17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322) carry?
The net debt of Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company is 15.4M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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