Central China Securities Holdings Co Ltd (1375) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$8.1B

A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9146 – HK$3.98 · fair‑value band HK$1.94 – HK$3.23 · the HK$1.73 price screens below the HK$2.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Central China Securities Holdings Co Ltd (1375) currently trades at HK$1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.59, implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Central China Securities Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of 25.0%. Revenue grew 34.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at HK$18.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.94 (bear case) to HK$3.23 (bull case); at HK$1.73, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 50%, 1375 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.63) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.08). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Central China Securities Co., Ltd. operates as a securities company. The company offers wealth management, investment banking, investment management, proprietary trading, and credit services, and overseas business; securities brokerage, investment advisory services, and the distribution of financial products; and equity underwriting and sponsorship, bond …

Full company description

Central China Securities Co., Ltd. operates as a securities company. The company offers wealth management, investment banking, investment management, proprietary trading, and credit services, and overseas business; securities brokerage, investment advisory services, and the distribution of financial products; and equity underwriting and sponsorship, bond underwriting, financial advisory services for mergers and acquisitions. It also provides asset management, private equity fund management, and alternative investment; and margin trading, repurchase agreements, and stock pledges, as well as invests in stocks, bonds, funds, derivatives, and securities in securities. In addition, it is involved in asset management, direct investment, and fund management; futures investment advisory; equity and venture capital investment; and sponsorship underwriting. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Central China Securities Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.6B in FY2025 versus HK$5.2B in FY2021, a compound −16.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$444M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.