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Shinjin Sm Co (138070) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 25.2B KRW

SS Shinjin Sm Co 138070 · KQ
Price1,507 KRW
Fair Value1,171 KRW
Upside-22.3%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.98% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range 769.40 KRW – 1,572 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (769.40 KRW to 1,572 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6,073 KRW 1,043 KRW Fair Value 1,171 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,043 KRW – 6,073 KRW · fair‑value band 769.40 KRW – 1,572 KRW · the 1,507 KRW price screens above the 1,171 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shinjin Sm Co (138070) currently trades at 1,507 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,171 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shinjin Sm Co generated revenue of 56.5B KRW at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.4%. Net debt stands at 7.3B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 769.40 KRW (bear case) to 1,572 KRW (bull case); at 1,507 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -22%, 138070 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,693 KRW 2,189 KRW 3,049 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,514 KRW 2,085 KRW 2,791 KRW 74
EV/EBITDA 1,511 KRW 1,912 KRW 2,314 KRW 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,633 KRW 2,143 KRW 3,102 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 759.82 KRW 934.11 KRW 1,262 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,514 KRW 2,054 KRW 2,845 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,451 KRW 1,946 KRW 2,607 KRW 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1,517 KRW 1,936 KRW 2,389 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,512 KRW 1,869 KRW 2,247 KRW 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 1,511 KRW 1,912 KRW 2,314 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 1,541 KRW 2,070 KRW 2,600 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,289 KRW 3,067 KRW 4,577 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,693 KRW 2,189 KRW 3,049 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,514 KRW 2,085 KRW 2,791 KRW 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3,067 KRW) versus Multiples (1,912 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 56.5B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin -0.5%
Return on equity -0.4%
Free cash flow 2.3B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 2.9%
More key figures
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.0%
Net debt 7.3B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shinjin Sm Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of standard materials in South Korea, Japan, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers standard plates, such as carbon steel, stainless steel, aluminum, and special steel plates; plates for mold base; and circular saws.

Full company description

Shinjin Sm Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of standard materials in South Korea, Japan, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers standard plates, such as carbon steel, stainless steel, aluminum, and special steel plates; plates for mold base; and circular saws. It also provides processing equipment, such as STC-3500, a circular saw cutting machine for metal plates; STVI-300, 800, 700, and 500, quadrilateral milling machines; STHM-300, 700, and 500, plain milling machines; STV-1300, 3200, and 2400, lateral milling machines; NHC series, a Nishijima round bar cutting machine; and Nishijima ND type series for leftover reduction type, as well as l-brackets and blocks. Further, the company engages in machinery manufacturing, and steel plate processing and sale. Shinjin Sm Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Jangsu-eup, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shinjin Sm Co reported revenue of 54.4B KRW in FY2025 versus 61.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −379M KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
54.4B KRW
Latest YoY
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 61.1B KRW
FY22 66.3B KRW
FY23 59.7B KRW
FY24 54.6B KRW
FY25 54.4B KRW
Net income
FY21 4.6B KRW
FY22 4.3B KRW
FY23 4.0B KRW
FY24 774M KRW
FY25 −379M KRW

138070 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shinjin Sm Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/138070

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 3
FUTURE 77 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.60 HK$81.05 -37%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $410.99 $350.46 -15%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $595.49 $184.29 -69%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $252.58 $154.80 -39%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $88.22 $54.24 -39%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 258.90 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $139.47 $66.33 -52%
The Toro Company TTC $94.42 $69.71 -26%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.00 CHF 118.30 -16%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.33 ¥35.72 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shinjin Sm Co (138070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,171 KRW versus a price of 1,507 KRW, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 138070?
Our model-based fair value for Shinjin Sm Co is 1,171 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,507 KRW.
What is the quality score of 138070?
Shinjin Sm Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shinjin Sm Co (138070)?
Shinjin Sm Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 56.5B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 138070?
The net profit margin of Shinjin Sm Co is about -0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shinjin Sm Co pay a dividend?
Shinjin Sm Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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