Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Baguio Green Group Ltd HK$4.92, price HK$0.74, upside +569.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Baguio Green Group Ltd
1397 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2591 – HK$1.29 · fair‑value band HK$3.69 – HK$6.22 · the HK$0.7350 price screens below the HK$4.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Baguio Green Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental and related services and goods in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia. It operates in four segments: Cleaning Services Business; Landscaping Services Business; Pest Management Business; and Waste Management and Recycling Business.
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Baguio Green Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental and related services and goods in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia. It operates in four segments: Cleaning Services Business; Landscaping Services Business; Pest Management Business; and Waste Management and Recycling Business. The company offers cleaning services, waste management and collection, horticulture and landscaping, and pest control; recycling services for plastic bottles, glass bottles, yard waste, and animal waste; smart waste management and IoT solutions; and organic planting materials, green sand bags, and recycled raw materials. It also provides smart recycling machines, smart food waste recycling machines, smart balances, and people counting systems; big data platforms and artificial intelligence solutions; paper recycling services; automobile repair services; services related to bioconversion of organic waste; and plant nursing services. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Lai Chi Kok, Hong Kong. Baguio Green Group Limited is a subsidiary of Baguio Green (Holding) Limited.
Stock analysis
Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) currently trades at HK$0.7350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.92, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$6.82 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.7350 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.7900, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$3.69 (bear) to HK$6.22 (bull), the price of HK$0.7350 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Baguio Green Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$97.3M in FY2025, compounding +65.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap HK$378M (≈ $48.1M) · P/E ratio 4.0 · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1400 · Dividend yield 9.5% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 569%, 1397 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Baguio Green Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 156 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $203.92 | $224.31 | +10% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $211.92 | $128.63 | −39% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | $150.66 | $165.73 | +10% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €30.73 | €20.32 | −34% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $313.04 | $155.54 | −50% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | $40.43 | $34.29 | −15% |
| Umicore SA UMI | €21.40 | €25.28 | +18% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €10.72 | €7.30 | −32% |
| Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST | $82.24 | $14.82 | −82% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.12 | ¥5.27 | −14% |
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