Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd HK$1.00, price HK$0.25, upside +304.9%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2020 – HK$11.36 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$1.37 · the HK$0.2470 price screens below the HK$1.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Future Machine Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and sale of mobile phones, PCBAs for mobile phones, and IoT related products in the People's Republic of China, India, Algeria, Bangladesh, and internationally.
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Future Machine Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and sale of mobile phones, PCBAs for mobile phones, and IoT related products in the People's Republic of China, India, Algeria, Bangladesh, and internationally. The company offers smartphones and feature phones; printed circuit board assemblies for mobile phones; and Internet of Things related products. It is also involved in the research and development of cloud computing and related technology; trading smartphones and feature phones; and provision of customer and technical support services. In addition, the company engages in trading of automobile and education tools related business. The company serves local branded mobile phone suppliers, telecommunication operators, and trading companies. Future Machine Limited was formerly known as Sprocomm Intelligence Limited and changed its name to Future Machine Limited in July 2025. Future Machine Limited was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401) currently trades at HK$0.2470, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.00, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.86 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$0.2470 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2800, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.4300 (bear) to HK$1.37 (bull), the price of HK$0.2470 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd reported revenue of 4.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was 41.4M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$390M (≈ $49.7M) · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 305%, 1401 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.4300Fair Value HK$1.00Bull HK$1.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+49.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.9% vs −2.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 95% above its own trend.
Compare Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.3% · Above median
Return on assets0.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth65.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.00 versus a price of HK$0.2470, about +305% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1401?
Our model-based fair value for Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is HK$1.00 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2470.
What is the quality score of 1401?
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.00 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4300, optimistic scenario HK$1.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.00, about +305% upside versus a price of HK$0.2470 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4300, optimistic scenario HK$1.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd it is HK$1.00 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2470. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 1401 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2470, fair value HK$1.00, a gap of about +305% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1401?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2470); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.00). For Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd the two are HK$0.7530 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd worth?
The market values Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd at about HK$390M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2470; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1401?
Our models span a range for Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.4300, base HK$1.00, optimistic HK$1.37 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.2470). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1401?
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 9.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1401 from its 52-week high?
Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd trades at HK$0.2470, about 80% below its 52-week high of HK$1.25 and 22% above the low of HK$0.2020 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.2470, calculated fair value HK$1.00 (+305%), Quality Score 28/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1401 calculated?
We run Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.2470. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.00, about +305% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.4300 to HK$1.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The market capitalisation of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is HK$390M (≈ $49.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is 0.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Earnings per share at Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The net margin of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
The operating margin of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Revenue at Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is growing +65.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401)?
Earnings per share at Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd are growing +348% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401) generate?
The free cash flow of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is −241M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd (1401) carry?
The net debt of Sprocomm Intelligence Ltd is 296M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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