Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Edvance International Holdings Ltd HK$0.52, price HK$1.06, upside -50.9%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1800 – HK$1.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.3600 – HK$0.6700 · the HK$1.06 price screens above the HK$0.5200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Edvance International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes cybersecurity products and services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Mongolia, Macau, and Singapore.
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Edvance International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes cybersecurity products and services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Mongolia, Macau, and Singapore. The company operates through the Cybersecurity Products Business; Cybersecurity Services Business; and Digital Assets Financial Services and Investment Business segments. The Cybersecurity Products Business segment engages in the procurement of network security, system security, and application and data security products. The Cybersecurity Services Business segment provides technical implementation, maintenance, and support services to customers. The Digital Assets Financial Services and Investment Business segment is involved in the provision of digital assets financial services to customers, and venture investment and securities trading activities. It also provides online marketing, multimedia production, and technology services. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Edvance International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Success Vision International Group Limited.
Stock analysis
Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) currently trades at HK$1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5200, implying the stock looks roughly 103.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7500 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$1.06 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.1100, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3600 (bear) to HK$0.6700 (bull), the price of HK$1.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Edvance International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$777M in FY2026 versus HK$525M in FY2022, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$22.4M in FY2026, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $136M) · P/E ratio 40.5 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600 · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 242% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −51%, 1410 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3600Fair Value HK$0.5200Bull HK$0.6700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.0% a year for the price.
Compare Edvance International Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−51% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)40.5× · Pricier than median
P/B5.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.37× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF2.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA46.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 48
PAST (return on equity)45· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Edvance International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1410
Frequently asked questions
Is Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5200 versus a price of HK$1.06, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1410?
Our model-based fair value for Edvance International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.5200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.06.
What is the quality score of 1410?
Edvance International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.5200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.6700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Edvance International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.5200, about −51% upside versus a price of HK$1.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.6700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Edvance International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$777M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Edvance International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1410 use?
Our models discount Edvance International Holdings Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Edvance International Holdings Ltd that is +10.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Edvance International Holdings Ltd grew +13.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Edvance International Holdings Ltd (+10.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.16 %: that much free cash flow Edvance International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Edvance International Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.5200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.06. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Edvance International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1410 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.06, fair value HK$0.5200, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1410?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.5200). For Edvance International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Edvance International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Edvance International Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.06; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.5200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1410?
Our models span a range for Edvance International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3600, base HK$0.5200, optimistic HK$0.6700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1410?
Edvance International Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.5200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 46.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Balance-sheet figures for Edvance International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1410 from its 52-week high?
Edvance International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.06, at its 52-week high of HK$1.06 and 242% above the low of HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.5200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Edvance International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Edvance International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.06, calculated fair value HK$0.5200 (−51%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1410 calculated?
We run Edvance International Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.5200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Edvance International Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.06. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.5200, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Edvance International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3600 to HK$0.6700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) come from?
Earnings per share at Edvance International Holdings Ltd grew +11.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.6 %, EBIT margin −15.2 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Edvance International Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The market capitalisation of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $136M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Earnings per share at Edvance International Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The net margin of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is 2.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
The operating margin of Edvance International Holdings Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Revenue at Edvance International Holdings Ltd is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410)?
Earnings per share at Edvance International Holdings Ltd are growing −28.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Edvance International Holdings Ltd (1410) hold?
Edvance International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$72.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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