1448 (1448) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$6.0B

1 1448 1448 · HK

PriceHK$2.64

Fair ValueHK$4.17

Upside+58.0%

Quality61/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$3.13 – HK$5.21

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.56 – HK$3.54 · fair‑value band HK$3.13 – HK$5.21 · the HK$2.64 price screens below the HK$4.17 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1448 (1448) currently trades at HK$2.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1448 generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue declined 44.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B

Revenue growth (YoY) -44.5%

Net margin -11.8%

Return on equity -2.2%

Free cash flow HK$653M FY2024

Operating margin -1.9%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1200

Dividend yield 5.8%

EPS growth (YoY) -77.5%

Net cash HK$1.9B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

1448 reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2024 versus HK$1.9B in FY2020, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$373M in FY2024, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2020.

Revenue +2.4%/yr

FY20 HK$1.9B

FY21 HK$2.3B

FY22 HK$2.2B

FY23 HK$2.6B

FY24 HK$2.1B

Net income −11.9%/yr

FY20 HK$620M

FY21 HK$720M

FY22 HK$659M

FY23 HK$791M

FY24 HK$373M

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Similar stocks

6 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Rollins, Inc ROL	$47.10	$15.62	-67%
Service Corporation SCI	$73.16	$36.64	-50%
H&R Block, Inc HRB	$34.04	$78.83	+132%
Frontdoor, Inc FTDR	$71.87	$73.55	+2%
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM	$61.54	$74.79	+22%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group FSHUF	$0.3800	$0.5500	+45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1448 (1448) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.17 versus a price of HK$2.64 — about +58% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1448?

Our model-based fair value for 1448 is HK$4.17 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.64.

What is the quality score of 1448?

1448 has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1448 (1448)?

1448 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1448?

The net profit margin of 1448 is about -11.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1448 pay a dividend?

1448 currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.