Service Corporation (SCI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.9B
Service Corporation
SCI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $37.31 to $39.27 (+5.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($28.05 to $91.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.75 – $87.32 · fair‑value band $28.05 – $91.45 · the $84.96 price screens above the $39.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Service Corporation (SCI) currently trades at $84.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.27, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Service Corporation generated revenue of $4.3B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.1%. Net debt stands at $4.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $28.05 (bear case) to $91.45 (bull case); at $84.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -54%, SCI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($66.86) versus Asset-Based ($7.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Service Corporation International provides deathcare products and services in the United States and Canada. Its funeral service and cemetery operations comprise funeral service locations, cemeteries, funeral service/cemetery combination locations, crematoria, and other businesses.
Full company description
Service Corporation International provides deathcare products and services in the United States and Canada. Its funeral service and cemetery operations comprise funeral service locations, cemeteries, funeral service/cemetery combination locations, crematoria, and other businesses. The company also provides professional services related to funerals and cremations, including the use of funeral home facilities and motor vehicles, arranging and directing services, removal, preparation, embalming, cremation, memorialization, and travel protection, as well as catering services. In addition, it offers funeral merchandise, including burial caskets and related accessories, urns and other cremation receptacles, outer burial containers, flowers, online and video tributes, stationery products, casket and cremation memorialization products, and other ancillary merchandise. Further, the company's cemeteries provide cemetery property interment rights, such as developed lots, lawn crypts, mausoleum spaces, and cremation niches; custom inventory, including private mausoleums, family estates, and exclusive cremation memorialization options; and Cemetery merchandise and services, such as memorial cemetery markers and bases, outer burial containers, flowers and floral placement, other ancillary merchandise, graveside services, merchandise installation, and interments. It offers its products and services under the Dignity Memorial, Dignity Planning, National Cremation Society, Advantage Funeral and Cremation Services, Funeraria del Angel, Making Everlasting Memories, Neptune Society, and Trident Society brand names. Service Corporation International was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Service Corporation reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $4.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $543M in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.
SCI screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Rollins, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Service Corporation International (SCI) Following Its Q2 Beat, Is The Valuation Still Worth It?
- SCI Q2 Deep Dive: Preneed Cemetery Momentum and Margin Improvements Set Tone for 2026
- Service Corporation Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise 4% Y/Y
- Service Corp. (SCI) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
Peer Group
Personal Services · 42 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rollins, Inc ROL | $44.47 | $21.11 | -53% |
| Frontdoor, Inc FTDR | $75.69 | $75.55 | -0% |
| H&R Block, Inc HRB | $41.14 | $78.83 | +92% |
| Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM | $73.99 | $62.41 | -16% |
| Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 | HK$2.64 | HK$4.20 | +59% |
| Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 | 48.60 TWD | 31.33 TWD | -36% |
| Carriage Services, Inc CSV | $38.29 | $26.63 | -30% |
| Musti Group MUSTI | €14.35 | €14.08 | -2% |
| Uniao Pet Participacoes S.A AUAU3 | R$3.08 | R$1.37 | -56% |
| Propel Funeral Partners Limited PFP | A$3.20 | A$3.25 | +2% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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