Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd (1520) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$470M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1615). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1760 – HK$1.94 · fair‑value band HK$0.1360 – HK$0.1615 · the HK$0.4950 price screens above the HK$0.1445 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd (1520) currently trades at HK$0.4950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1445, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$150M at a net margin of -73.5%. Revenue grew 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -75.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$14.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1360 (bear case) to HK$0.1615 (bull case); at HK$0.4950, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -71%, 1520 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.1800) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Virtual Mind Holding Company Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and trades in apparel products, cultural, game and other products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
Virtual Mind Holding Company Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and trades in apparel products, cultural, game and other products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Saudi Arabia. The company provides money lending services to individual consumers and small businesses; sells gaming and animated character-related products; provides toys, garment, software technical advisory, and promoting services; and develops games and software, as well as offers literature design services. The company was formerly known as CEFC Hong Kong Financial Investment Company Limited and changed its name to Virtual Mind Holding Company Limited in March 2022. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$150M in FY2025 versus HK$140M in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$110M in FY2025.
1520 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 174.25 | kr 165.47 | -5% |
| LPP SA LPP | 22,220 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -20% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.65 | HK$5.92 | +27% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.78 | ¥5.59 | -28% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹38,295 | ₹12,395 | -68% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.07 | ¥9.92 | +63% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 85,200 KRW | 188,736 KRW | +122% |
| F&F Co 383220 | 68,800 KRW | 179,500 KRW | +161% |
| Youngone Holdings 009970 | 188,300 KRW | 697,038 KRW | +270% |
| Wiselink Co 8932 | 105.00 TWD | 37.95 TWD | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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