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Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.31, price HK$0.58, upside -46.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd
1536 · HKWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value HK$0.3100 · Strongly overvalued (−46%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0296 – HK$0.6450 · fair‑value band HK$0.2400 – HK$0.3100 · the HK$0.5750 price screens above the HK$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in down-the-hole (DTH) rock drilling tools in Hong Kong, Scandinavia, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally.
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Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in down-the-hole (DTH) rock drilling tools in Hong Kong, Scandinavia, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Manufacturing and Trading of DTH Rockdrilling Tools; and Trading of Piling and Drilling Machineries and Rockdrilling Equipment segments. It offers DTH hammers, casing systems, button bits and bit openers, drill pipes, cluster drills, and casing tubes. The company also trades in piling and drilling machineries, and rock drilling equipment. Its products are used in building foundation and piling on construction sites, mining and quarrying, water well drilling, utility linings, micro-tunneling, and overburden drilling. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Colour Shine Investments Limited.
Stock analysis
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) currently trades at HK$0.5750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0600 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.5750 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2400 (bear) to HK$0.3100 (bull), the price of HK$0.5750 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$178M in FY2026 versus HK$142M in FY2022, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.4M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$86.2M (≈ $11.0M) · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin −9.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$178M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −46%, 1536 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2400
Fair Value HK$0.3100
Bull HK$0.3100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
80
Growth DCF
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
77
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0500
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
80
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0500
71
10Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0600
HK$0.0900
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0400
77
Rev-Margin DCF
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0500
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
39/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Profitability
23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
8
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.8% (2021) → −3.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.9% a year for the price.
1536 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Compare Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 833 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $950.28 | $194.25 | −80% |
| SIE SIE | €273.85 | €150.21 | −45% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $442.49 | $172.75 | −61% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $964.85 | $418.76 | −57% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $526.13 | $359.38 | −32% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $270.47 | $151.39 | −44% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $154.19 | $62.15 | −60% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $245.41 | $125.80 | −49% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $427.19 | $138.24 | −68% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 385.10 | kr 199.07 | −48% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$0.5750, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1536?
Our model-based fair value for Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5750.
What is the quality score of 1536?
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3100, about −46% upside versus a price of HK$0.5750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$178M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +40.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1536 use?
Our models discount Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd that is +40.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies +40.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (+40.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.76 %: that much free cash flow Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5750. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 1536 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5750, fair value HK$0.3100, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1536?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3100). For Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.2650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$86.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5750; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1536?
Our models span a range for Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2400, base HK$0.3100, optimistic HK$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price HK$0.5750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price HK$0.5750, calculated fair value HK$0.3100 (−46%), Quality Score 39/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1536 calculated?
We run Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$0.5750. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3100, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The market capitalisation of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is HK$86.2M (≈ $11.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Earnings per share at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The net margin of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is −2.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is −4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
The operating margin of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Revenue at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is growing −38.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Earnings per share at Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd are growing −91.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) hold?
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$3.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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