Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd HK$1.24, price HK$0.62, upside +100.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4900 – HK$3.09 · fair‑value band HK$0.9300 – HK$1.24 · the HK$0.6200 price screens below the HK$1.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in supplying raw water, municipal water, pipeline direct drinking water, packaged drinking water, and tap water directly to end-users in Mainland China.
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Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in supplying raw water, municipal water, pipeline direct drinking water, packaged drinking water, and tap water directly to end-users in Mainland China. The company is involved in the installation of the water pipelines; centralized water production and supply; pipeline direct drinking water production; examination of water quality; and bottled drinking spring water production. Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.
Stock analysis
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) currently trades at HK$0.6200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.24, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.9300 (bear) to HK$1.24 (bull), the price of HK$0.6200 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 591M CNY in FY2025 versus 520M CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −69.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$200M (≈ $25.5M) · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1000 · Net margin −11.8% · Return on equity −7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin 8.9% · Revenue (TTM) 606M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1542 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.9300Fair Value HK$1.24Bull HK$1.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.8% (2020) → 9.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 63 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+100.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−11.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity10.04× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1542
Frequently asked questions
Is Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.24 versus a price of HK$0.6200, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1542?
Our model-based fair value for Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is HK$1.24 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6200.
What is the quality score of 1542?
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.24 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.9300, optimistic scenario HK$1.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.24, about +100% upside versus a price of HK$0.6200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.9300, optimistic scenario HK$1.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 606M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd it is HK$1.24 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6200. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1542 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6200, fair value HK$1.24, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1542?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.24). For Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.6200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd at about HK$200M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1542?
Our models span a range for Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.9300, base HK$1.24, optimistic HK$1.24 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.6200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.5%, debt of 10.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1542 from its 52-week high?
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.6200, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$1.45 and 27% above the low of HK$0.4900 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.6200, calculated fair value HK$1.24 (+100%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1542 calculated?
We run Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.6200. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.24, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.9300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The market capitalisation of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is HK$200M (≈ $25.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Earnings per share at Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The net margin of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is −11.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
The operating margin of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Revenue at Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542)?
Earnings per share at Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd are growing −59.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) generate?
The free cash flow of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is −33.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) carry?
The net debt of Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd is 3.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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