Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$200M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.25 to HK$0.7200 (−42.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −32.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.5400 to HK$2.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6700 – HK$3.09 · fair‑value band HK$0.5400 – HK$2.00 · the HK$0.6700 price screens below the HK$0.7200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd (1542) currently trades at HK$0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$606M at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.5%. Net debt stands at HK$3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5400 (bear case) to HK$2.00 (bull case); at HK$0.6700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 7%, 1542 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in supplying raw water, municipal water, pipeline direct drinking water, packaged drinking water, and tap water directly to end-users in Mainland China.
Full company description
Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in supplying raw water, municipal water, pipeline direct drinking water, packaged drinking water, and tap water directly to end-users in Mainland China. The company is involved in the installation of the water pipelines; centralized water production and supply; pipeline direct drinking water production; examination of water quality; and bottled drinking spring water production. Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Taizhou Water Group Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$591M in FY2025 versus HK$520M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$69.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 68 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.92 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$26.12 | R$31.23 | +20% |
| SBS SBS | $5.10 | $8.12 | +59% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $40.08 | $21.81 | -46% |
| Guangdong Investment Limited 0270 | HK$8.15 | HK$12.82 | +57% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$60.57 | R$60.17 | -1% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.61 | ¥33.29 | +12% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $87.54 | $47.94 | -45% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥7.14 | ¥9.09 | +27% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.98 | $33.56 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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