Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd HK$0.18, price HK$0.10, upside +89.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0960 – HK$1.42 · fair‑value band HK$0.1569 – HK$0.2109 · the HK$0.0960 price screens below the HK$0.1816 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Follow Minsheng Education Group Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Minsheng Education Group Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Minsheng Education Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides educational services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, On-Campus Education and Online Education.
Show more
Minsheng Education Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides educational services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, On-Campus Education and Online Education. The company offers online education services; vocational ability improvement and training services; education informatization services; examination and evaluation; and international education services. It also provides education management and services; formal undergraduate and junior college education services; university and college logistics services; secondary vocational education and technical training; rental and business management services; investment management and services; education consulting; asset management, project investment, and management services; educational software development and other related services; technology development services; intermediary services for overseas studies; advertising services; software and information technology services; SaaS services; human resource compliance consulting services; self-study examination assistance services; and immigration services. In addition, the company engages in real estate development; organization of cultural and artistic exchange activities; and operation of the public service system for distance education. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Minsheng Education Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Minsheng Group Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) currently trades at HK$0.0960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1816, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7200 per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.0960 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1569 (bear) to HK$0.2109 (bull), the price of HK$0.0960 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −744M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$468M (≈ $59.7M) · P/S ratio 0.28 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin −45.1% · Return on equity −13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −27.7% · Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at 89%, 1569 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1569Fair Value HK$0.1816Bull HK$0.2109
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.7% (2020) → −9.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 141 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+89.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−45.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−27.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1569
Frequently asked questions
Is Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1816 versus a price of HK$0.0960, about +89% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1569?
Our model-based fair value for Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is HK$0.1816 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0960.
What is the quality score of 1569?
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1816 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1569, optimistic scenario HK$0.2109. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1816, about +89% upside versus a price of HK$0.0960 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1569, optimistic scenario HK$0.2109. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1569 use?
Our models discount Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.34 %: that much free cash flow Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.1816 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0960. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 1569 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0960, fair value HK$0.1816, a gap of about +89% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1569?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0960); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1816). For Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0856 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd at about HK$468M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0960; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1816 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1569?
Our models span a range for Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1569, base HK$0.1816, optimistic HK$0.2109 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.0960). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 1569?
The PEG ratio of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is 4.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −13.0%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1569 from its 52-week high?
Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.0960, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2210 and at the low of HK$0.0960 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1816 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Zhong Jia Guo Xin Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.0960, calculated fair value HK$0.1816 (+89%), Quality Score 35/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1569 calculated?
We run Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1816, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd currently trades 89 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was HK$0.0960. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1816, about +89% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1569). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) come from?
Earnings per share at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd grew −12.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.2 %, EBIT margin −14.0 %, tax rate −7.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The market capitalisation of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is HK$468M (≈ $59.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The dividend yield of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is 3.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The net margin of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is −45.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is −13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
The operating margin of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is −27.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Revenue at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is growing −13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569)?
Earnings per share at Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd are growing −64.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd (1569) carry?
The net debt of Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd is 137M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 29.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Minsheng Education Group Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
