Bitfire Group (1611) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −15.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2210). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1020 to HK$0.2210) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.36 – HK$27.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.1020 – HK$0.2210 · the HK$1.88 price screens above the HK$0.1615 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Bitfire Group (1611) currently trades at HK$1.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1615, implying the stock looks roughly 91.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bitfire Group generated revenue of HK$7.2B at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue declined 43.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -59.2%. Net debt stands at HK$43.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1020 (bear case) to HK$0.2210 (bull case); at HK$1.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -91%, 1611 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$1.02) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.6700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bitfire Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cryptocurrency trading and technology solution services in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Bitfire Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cryptocurrency trading and technology solution services in the People's Republic of China. It offers blockchain solutions; peripheral accessories, such as browser, faucet, and official website; and fundamental Dapps and software-as-a-service to customers in blockchain, virtual assets, fintech, and big data, as well as other technology sectors. The company also provides various services in virtual asset ecosystem, including asset management; centralized custodian services, including safekeeping, settlement, and other customized services; and MPC self-custody services, which include Wallet-as-a-Service, a set of MPC digital asset custody wallet infrastructure for Web3 developers. In addition, the company is involved in trading of cryptocurrency; and provision of consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Sinohope Technology Holdings Limited and changed its name to Bitfire Group Holdings Limited in March 2026. Bitfire Group Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bitfire Group reported revenue of HK$8.7B in FY2025 versus HK$611M in FY2021, a compound +94.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.2M in FY2025.
1611 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 422 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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