Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited HK$0.78, price HK$2.07, upside -62.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Huobi Technology Holdings Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.36 – HK$20.95 · fair‑value band HK$0.6885 – HK$0.9265 · the HK$2.07 price screens above the HK$0.7820 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Huobi Technology Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Huobi Technology Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Bitfire Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cryptocurrency trading and technology solution services in the People's Republic of China.
Show more
Bitfire Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cryptocurrency trading and technology solution services in the People's Republic of China. It offers blockchain solutions; peripheral accessories, such as browser, faucet, and official website; and fundamental Dapps and software-as-a-service to customers in blockchain, virtual assets, fintech, and big data, as well as other technology sectors. The company also provides various services in virtual asset ecosystem, including asset management; centralized custodian services, including safekeeping, settlement, and other customized services; and MPC self-custody services, which include Wallet-as-a-Service, a set of MPC digital asset custody wallet infrastructure for Web3 developers. In addition, the company is involved in trading of cryptocurrency; and provision of consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Sinohope Technology Holdings Limited and changed its name to Bitfire Group Holdings Limited in March 2026. Bitfire Group Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) currently trades at HK$2.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7820, implying the stock looks roughly 164.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.6885 (bear) to HK$0.9265 (bull), the price of HK$2.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Huobi Technology Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$8.7B in FY2025 versus HK$611M in FY2021, a compound +94.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.3B (≈ $169M) · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity −59.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.8% · Operating margin −4.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$7.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −62%, 1611 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.6885Fair Value HK$0.7820Bull HK$0.9265
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0099 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+451.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.7% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.7% (2020) → −0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.1% a year for the price.
Compare Huobi Technology Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−43% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF11.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7820 versus a price of HK$2.07, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1611?
Our model-based fair value for Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is HK$0.7820 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.07.
What is the quality score of 1611?
Huobi Technology Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7820 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6885, optimistic scenario HK$0.9265. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huobi Technology Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7820, about −62% upside versus a price of HK$2.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6885, optimistic scenario HK$0.9265. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Huobi Technology Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Huobi Technology Holdings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +28.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +99.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1611 use?
Our models discount Huobi Technology Holdings Limited at 14.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Huobi Technology Holdings Limited that is +28.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Huobi Technology Holdings Limited grew +99.1 % a year. The price currently implies +28.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (+28.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.29 %: that much free cash flow Huobi Technology Holdings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huobi Technology Holdings Limited it is HK$0.7820 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$2.07. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huobi Technology Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1611 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$2.07, fair value HK$0.7820, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1611?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7820). For Huobi Technology Holdings Limited the two are HK$1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huobi Technology Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Huobi Technology Holdings Limited at about HK$1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.07; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7820 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1611?
Our models span a range for Huobi Technology Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.6885, base HK$0.7820, optimistic HK$0.9265 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$2.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −59.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1611 from its 52-week high?
Huobi Technology Holdings Limited trades at HK$2.07, about 64% below its 52-week high of HK$5.78 and 17% above the low of HK$1.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7820 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huobi Technology Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huobi Technology Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$2.07, calculated fair value HK$0.7820 (−62%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1611 calculated?
We run Huobi Technology Holdings Limited through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7820, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Huobi Technology Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$2.07. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7820, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huobi Technology Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.9265). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The market capitalisation of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is HK$1.3B (≈ $169M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is 0.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Earnings per share at Huobi Technology Holdings Limited are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The net margin of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is −0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is −59.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is −6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
The operating margin of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611)?
Revenue at Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is growing −43.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Huobi Technology Holdings Limited (1611) carry?
The net debt of Huobi Technology Holdings Limited is HK$43.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Huobi Technology Holdings Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Huobi Technology Holdings Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
