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Synertone Communication Corp (1613) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Synertone Communication Corp stock HK$0.54, price HK$0.75, that is 27.3% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology HK · ISIN KYG8650N1658

SC Synertone Communication Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Synertone Communication Corp

1613 · HK

Expensive (fair value 27% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Low debt 
Revenue last quarter 33% below a year ago. 
Fair value HK$0.5418 · Overvalued 
Quality 35/100 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.4 %/yr in HKD) 
Loss-making · -115.1% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/10) 
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data 
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.70 HK$0.1270 Fair Value HK$0.5418 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1270 – HK$2.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.4064 – HK$0.6773 · the HK$0.7450 price screens above the HK$0.5418 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Synertone Communication Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, researches, develops, produces, and sells automation control and intelligent building systems in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.

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It operates through Building Intelligence, Control System, Data Centre, and Smartphone distribution segments.

The Building Intelligence segment provides video intercom systems; security alarm solutions; and surveillance systems under the MOX brand for residential complexes; and smart home automation systems for new and existing households and other related products.

The Control System segment offers automation hardware and software products; information systems platforms; and industrial, monitoring, and scheduling management system solutions for municipal utilities industry.

The Data Centre segment provides rental and maintenance services to computer equipment and machines; information technology infrastructure and platform; and robots and other related services.

The Smartphone distribution segment offers distribution of Xiaomi-branded smartphones and ecosystem products and related equipment. It serves property developers, building system integrators, corporations, governmental entities, municipal utilities, and power generation plants.

Synertone Communication Corporation was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Synertone Communication Corp (1613) currently trades at HK$0.7450, while our estimate is HK$0.5418, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.4064 (bear) to HK$0.6773 (bull), the price of HK$0.7450 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Synertone Communication Corp reported revenue of HK$36.8M in FY2026 versus HK$114M in FY2022, a compound −24.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$42.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $146M) Micro · P/S ratio 36.7 · Net margin −115% · Return on equity −48.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −20.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$36.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) −32.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 487% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −27%, 1613 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.4064 Fair Value HK$0.5418 Bull HK$0.6773
Price HK$0.7450 · Downside -27.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 26
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 81
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 88
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 77
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 76
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−68.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−23.9% (2021) → −62.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1613 screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 330 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −32.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −115.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −20.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −32.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 13.35× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 31.10× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Ubiquiti Inc UI $669.76 $747.36 +12% vs 1613
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $95.64 $105.20 +10% vs 1613
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥187.58 ¥206.34 +10% vs 1613
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥466.20 ¥342.18 −27% vs 1613
Nokia Oyj NOKIA €7.29 €3.87 −47% vs 1613
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $531.20 $249.63 −53% vs 1613
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥40.10 ¥14.01 −65% vs 1613
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥250.51 ¥59.92 −76% vs 1613
Ciena Corporation CIEN $280.54 $50.06 −82% vs 1613
Lumentum Holdings LITE $596.62 $85.88 −86% vs 1613

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Synertone Communication Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Synertone Communication Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1613

Frequently asked questions

Is Synertone Communication Corp (1613) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.5418 versus a price of HK$0.7450, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1613?
Our estimate for Synertone Communication Corp is HK$0.5418 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7450.
What is the quality score of 1613?
Synertone Communication Corp has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.5418 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.4064, optimistic scenario HK$0.6773. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Synertone Communication Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.5418, about 27% lower versus a price of HK$0.7450 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4064, optimistic scenario HK$0.6773. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
Synertone Communication Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$36.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Synertone Communication Corp it is HK$0.5418 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.7450.
Is Synertone Communication Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 1613 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.7450, fair value HK$0.5418, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1613?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.7450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.5418). For Synertone Communication Corp the two are HK$0.2032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Synertone Communication Corp worth?
The market values Synertone Communication Corp at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.7450; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.5418 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1613?
Our models span a range for Synertone Communication Corp: cautious scenario HK$0.4064, base HK$0.5418, optimistic HK$0.6773 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.7450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
Balance-sheet figures for Synertone Communication Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −48.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1613 from its 52-week high?
Synertone Communication Corp trades at HK$0.7450, about 43% below its 52-week high of HK$1.32 and 487% above the low of HK$0.1270 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.5418 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Synertone Communication Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Synertone Communication Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.7450, calculated fair value HK$0.5418 (−27%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Synertone Communication Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.7450. Our estimate is HK$0.5418, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Synertone Communication Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6773). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Synertone Communication Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The market capitalisation of Synertone Communication Corp is HK$1.1B (≈ $146M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Synertone Communication Corp is 36.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The net margin of Synertone Communication Corp is −115% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Synertone Communication Corp is −48.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Synertone Communication Corp is −17.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
The operating margin of Synertone Communication Corp is −20.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Synertone Communication Corp (1613)?
Revenue at Synertone Communication Corp is down 32.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Synertone Communication Corp (1613) generate?
The free cash flow of Synertone Communication Corp is −HK$1.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Synertone Communication Corp (1613) hold?
Synertone Communication Corp holds more cash than debt, HK$19.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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