Synertone Communication Corp (1613) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$233M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +78.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1360). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.1190 to HK$0.1360), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1270 – HK$2.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.1190 – HK$0.1360 · the HK$0.8850 price screens above the HK$0.1275 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Synertone Communication Corp (1613) currently trades at HK$0.8850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1275, implying the stock looks roughly 85.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Synertone Communication Corp generated revenue of HK$50.1M at a net margin of -63.0%. Revenue declined 87.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$19.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1190 (bear case) to HK$0.1360 (bull case); at HK$0.8850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -86%, 1613 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.1400) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Synertone Communication Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, researches, develops, produces, and sells automation control and intelligent building systems in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through Building Intelligence, Control System, Data Centre, and Smartphone distribution segments.
Full company description
Synertone Communication Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, researches, develops, produces, and sells automation control and intelligent building systems in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through Building Intelligence, Control System, Data Centre, and Smartphone distribution segments. The Building Intelligence segment provides video intercom systems; security alarm solutions; and surveillance systems under the MOX brand for residential complexes; and smart home automation systems for new and existing households and other related products. The Control System segment offers automation hardware and software products; information systems platforms; and industrial, monitoring, and scheduling management system solutions for municipal utilities industry. The Data Centre segment provides rental and maintenance services to computer equipment and machines; information technology infrastructure and platform; and robots and other related services. The Smartphone distribution segment offers distribution of Xiaomi-branded smartphones and ecosystem products and related equipment. It serves property developers, building system integrators, corporations, governmental entities, municipal utilities, and power generation plants. Synertone Communication Corporation was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Synertone Communication Corp reported revenue of HK$36.8M in FY2026 versus HK$114M in FY2022, a compound −24.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$42.3M in FY2026.
1613 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $120.43 | $61.53 | -49% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥921.00 | ¥171.09 | -81% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥65.60 | ¥28.65 | -56% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | -59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.32 | $3.77 | -63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $469.74 | $236.33 | -50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥240.05 | ¥43.67 | -82% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | -50% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB | kr 97.78 | kr 157.82 | +61% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥35.59 | ¥19.72 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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