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Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd (1629) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$90.1M (≈ $11.5M) · ISIN KYG2121P1072

What is Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd really worth?

CA Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd 1629 · HK
PriceHK$0.1910
Fair ValueHK$0.5100
Upside+167.0%
Quality55/100

A solid business, trading 63% below our fair value of HK$0.5100.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −25.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -19.6% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4200 – HK$0.6000

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +15.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.31 HK$0.1080 Fair Value HK$0.5100 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1080 – HK$4.31 · fair‑value band HK$0.4200 – HK$0.6000 · the HK$0.1910 price screens below the HK$0.5100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd (1629) currently trades at HK$0.1910, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5100, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4800 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.1910 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3100, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$135M at a net margin of −19.6%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$117M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4200 (bear case) to HK$0.6000 (bull case); at HK$0.1910, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 167%, 1629 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.3600 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4600 80
Growth DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4500 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5400 72
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.3600 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4600 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5400 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.4100 HK$0.4500 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4500 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5200 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4500 HK$0.5200 HK$0.6000 65
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.4000 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5500 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4700 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4500 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5300 72

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.4800) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.3100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.67 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200
Net margin −19.5% FY2025
Return on equity −9.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$135M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.0% 3y avg +25.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −70.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$10.7M FY2025
Net cash HK$117M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Champion Alliance International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of household paper and hygiene products in Mainland China. The company operates through the Property Leasing, and Household Paper and Hygiene Products segments.

Full company description

Champion Alliance International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of household paper and hygiene products in Mainland China. The company operates through the Property Leasing, and Household Paper and Hygiene Products segments. It leases factory, equipment, and the land for the new energy business operated by an independent third party; and manufactures hygiene products. The company was formerly known as Mengke Holdings Limited and changed its name to Champion Alliance International Holdings Limited in January 2019. Champion Alliance International Holdings Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Dongying, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 150M CNY in FY2025 versus 492M CNY in FY2021, a compound −25.7%/yr. Reported net income was −29.4M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$150M
Latest YoY
+17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −25.7%/yr
FY21 492M CNY
FY22 75.8M CNY
FY23 132M CNY
FY24 128M CNY
FY25 150M CNY
Net income
FY21 24.4M CNY
FY22 −10.4M CNY
FY23 17.2M CNY
FY24 3.4M CNY
FY25 −29.4M CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1629

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +167% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 28
FUTURE100 · sector 8
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH95 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
L'Oréal S.A LORL C$24.76 C$22.64 −9%
Unilever PLC UNA €55.92 €40.47 −28%
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $90.75 $55.28 −39%
500696 500696 ₹2,093 ₹641.55 −69%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,015 ₹789.46 −61%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $18.98 $10.97 −42%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $109.55 $79.71 −27%
Henkel AG HEN3 €75.82 €85.95 +13%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc ESLA €86.54 €18.84 −78%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $101.26 $65.12 −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd (1629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5100 versus a price of HK$0.1910, about +167% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1629?
Our model-based fair value for Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.5100 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1910.
What is the quality score of 1629?
Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd (1629)?
Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$135M (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1629?
The net profit margin of Champion Alliance International Holdings Ltd is about −19.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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