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Ulferts International Limited (1711) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$118M

UI Ulferts International Limited 1711 · HK
PriceHK$0.1710
Fair ValueHK$0.3900
Upside+128.1%
Quality68/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3000 – HK$0.4800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Share price +22.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 128% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4540 HK$0.0560 Fair Value HK$0.3900 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0560 – HK$0.4540 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.4800 · the HK$0.1710 price screens below the HK$0.3900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ulferts International Limited (1711) currently trades at HK$0.1710, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 128.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ulferts International Limited generated revenue of HK$137M at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$19.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3000 (bear case) to HK$0.4800 (bull case); at HK$0.1710, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 185% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 128%, 1711 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 70
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 67
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3000 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3900 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2300 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4500 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1800 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3200 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3000 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4800 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2300) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$137M
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.5%
Net margin -1.3%
Return on equity -7.5%
Free cash flow HK$17.9M FY2025
Operating margin 0.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -9.4%
Net cash HK$19.0M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ulferts International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of furniture and special projects in Hong Kong.

Full company description

Ulferts International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of furniture and special projects in Hong Kong. The company's products include mattresses, pillows, sofas, sofa beds, beds, cabinets, dining tables, chairs, wardrobes, coffee tables, and sideboards, as well as other ancillary items under the Ulfenbo, Ulferts Signature, and Ulferts brand name, as well as himolla, Gamma, MIDJ, egoitaliano, and MALERBA brand name through specialty stores, department store counter and wholesale channel. It also provides compact furniture and home accessories to suit small living spaces under the at.home brand name; planning, design, procuring, and installation services of custom-made furniture for corporate customers, as well as group tenancy agency and liaison services with furniture manufacturers. The company operates points-of-sale under the Ulferts Signature, Ulferts, at.home, Ulfenbo, and Slumberland names. Ulferts International Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Ulferts International Limited is a subsidiary of Ulferts International Group Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ulferts International Limited reported revenue of HK$137M in FY2026 versus HK$225M in FY2022, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.7M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$137M
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.5%
Revenue −11.7%/yr
FY22 HK$225M
FY23 HK$216M
FY24 HK$172M
FY25 HK$153M
FY26 HK$137M
Net income
FY22 HK$4.1M
FY23 −HK$21.0M
FY24 −HK$25.0M
FY25 −HK$41.0M
FY26 −HK$1.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ulferts International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1711

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 223 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +128% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 31
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$93.19 C$75.00 -20%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $839.03 $398.90 -52%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $245.15 $162.63 -34%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $531.89 $475.40 -11%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $202.66 $181.10 -11%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.00 $108.04 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥54.97 ¥40.40 -27%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.43 $35.52 -2%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $544.22 $423.35 -22%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 109.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ulferts International Limited (1711) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3900 versus a price of HK$0.1710, about +128% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1711?
Our model-based fair value for Ulferts International Limited is HK$0.3900 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1710.
What is the quality score of 1711?
Ulferts International Limited has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ulferts International Limited (1711)?
Ulferts International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$137M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1711?
The net profit margin of Ulferts International Limited is about -1.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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