China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd (1756) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$522M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.3623 to HK$0.3585 (−1.0%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1758 to HK$0.4816). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3800 – HK$2.41 · fair‑value band HK$0.1758 – HK$0.4816 · the HK$0.3900 price screens above the HK$0.3585 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd (1756) currently trades at HK$0.3900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3585, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1758 (bear case) to HK$0.4816 (bull case); at HK$0.3900, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -8%, 1756 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$7.69) versus Growth DCF (HK$1.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Science and Education Industry Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides private higher education and vocational education services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers applied science-focused and practice-oriented programs; and tuition and student accommodation services.
Full company description
China Science and Education Industry Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides private higher education and vocational education services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers applied science-focused and practice-oriented programs; and tuition and student accommodation services. It also operates schools under the Huali College, Huali Vocational College, and Huali Technician College names. In addition, the company engages in the provision of property management and education support services; operation of a motor vehicle driver training school; and school sponsor activities. The company was formerly known as China Vocational Education Holdings Limited and changed its name to China Science and Education Industry Group Limited in February 2025. China Science and Education Industry Group Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$882M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$453M in FY2025, compounding +33.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 875.84 MXN | -9% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $11.87 | $15.60 | +31% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.99 | $41.45 | +12% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹123.90 | ₹14.81 | -88% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $142.06 | $152.01 | +7% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $78.59 | $139.45 | +77% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | -18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.24 | $40.65 | +30% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $79.98 | $105.48 | +32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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