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Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd HK$0.35, price HK$0.29, upside +22.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG9T2061057

WE Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd

1845 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$0.3500 · Undervalued (+22.8%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -30.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.5000 HK$0.1120 Fair Value HK$0.3500 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1120 – HK$0.5000 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.4800 · the HK$0.2850 price screens below the HK$0.3500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Limited engages in the research, design, integration, and commissioning solid waste treatment systems primarily for hazardous waste incineration in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Solid Waste Treatment and Oilfield Auxiliary Services.

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Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Limited engages in the research, design, integration, and commissioning solid waste treatment systems primarily for hazardous waste incineration in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Solid Waste Treatment and Oilfield Auxiliary Services. The company also provides oil sludge thermal desorption treatment, pyrolysis treatment of solid waste, and cement plant parallel kiln co-treatment services. In addition, it offers oilfield auxiliary services, which include petroleum transportation, meter maintenance, oil pipe repair, and water treatment; and research and development of environmental protection technologies and facilities. The company was formerly known as WeiGang Environmental Protection Holdings Limited and changed its name to Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Limited in May 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) currently trades at HK$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3500, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3500 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.2850 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1800, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2700 (bear) to HK$0.4800 (bull), the price of HK$0.2850 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd reported revenue of 205M CNY in FY2025 versus 562M CNY in FY2021, a compound −22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −63.1M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$380M (≈ $48.4M) · P/S ratio 1.42 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −30.8% · Return on equity −17.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin −21.9% · Revenue (TTM) 205M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 23%, 1845 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2700 Fair Value HK$0.3500 Bull HK$0.4800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5200 81
Growth DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5100 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2600 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4800 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5200 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2600 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4800 73
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2600 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4000 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5100 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.4% (2020) → −18.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 164 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +22.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −30.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −21.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)64 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $211.92 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1845

Frequently asked questions

Is Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3500 versus a price of HK$0.2850, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1845?
Our model-based fair value for Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is HK$0.3500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2850.
What is the quality score of 1845?
Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2700, optimistic scenario HK$0.4800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3500, about +23% upside versus a price of HK$0.2850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2700, optimistic scenario HK$0.4800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 205M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -17.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1845 use?
Our models discount Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd that is -1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd grew -17.5 % a year. The price currently implies -1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (-1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.94 %: that much free cash flow Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd it is HK$0.3500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2850. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1845 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2850, fair value HK$0.3500, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1845?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3500). For Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd worth?
The market values Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd at about HK$380M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2850; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1845?
Our models span a range for Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2700, base HK$0.3500, optimistic HK$0.4800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Balance-sheet figures for Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −17.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1845 from its 52-week high?
Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2850, about 5% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3000 and 119% above the low of HK$0.1300 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2850, calculated fair value HK$0.3500 (+23%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1845 calculated?
We run Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2850. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3500, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The market capitalisation of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is HK$380M (≈ $48.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is 1.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Earnings per share at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The net margin of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is −30.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is −17.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
The operating margin of Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is −21.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Revenue at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845)?
Earnings per share at Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd are growing +41.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd (1845) hold?
Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, 15.1M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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