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1851 (1851) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$2.9B

1 1851 1851 · HK
PriceHK$6.37
Fair ValueHK$6.38
Upside+0.2%
Quality68/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$4.30 – HK$8.02

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −20.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$7.98 HK$1.28 Fair Value HK$6.38 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$1.28 – HK$7.98 · fair‑value band HK$4.30 – HK$8.02 · the HK$6.37 price screens below the HK$6.38 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1851 (1851) currently trades at HK$6.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.38 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1851 generated revenue of HK$401M at a net margin of 40.6%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$63.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$401M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 40.6%
Return on equity 16.0%
Free cash flow HK$111M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.5
More key figures
Operating margin 35.8%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000
EPS growth (YoY) +33.7%
Net cash HK$63.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1851 reported revenue of HK$401M in FY2025 versus HK$227M in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$163M in FY2025, compounding +43.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +15.3%/yr
FY21 HK$227M
FY22 HK$286M
FY23 HK$355M
FY24 HK$373M
FY25 HK$401M
Net income +43.2%/yr
FY21 HK$38.7M
FY22 HK$85.0M
FY23 HK$148M
FY24 HK$153M
FY25 HK$163M

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6 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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TAL Education Group T1AL34 R$4.89 R$0.9200 -81%
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Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $33.82 $33.05 -2%
Covista Inc CVSA $119.28 $137.46 +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1851 (1851) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.38 versus a price of HK$6.37 — about +0% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1851?
Our model-based fair value for 1851 is HK$6.38 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$6.37.
What is the quality score of 1851?
1851 has a Quality Score of 68/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1851 (1851)?
1851 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$401M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1851?
The net profit margin of 1851 is about 40.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 40.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.