China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd HK$0.40, price HK$0.50, upside -19.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1772 – HK$0.5200 · fair‑value band HK$0.3700 – HK$0.4600 · the HK$0.4950 price screens above the HK$0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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China Oriented International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides driving training services in the People's Republic of China.
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China Oriented International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides driving training services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers driving training services for the preparation of driving tests of large and small vehicles, including driving skill written tests, on-site driving tests, on-road driving tests, and road safety written tests. It also provides occupational training services and driving training courses. China Oriented International Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhumadian, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871) currently trades at HK$0.4950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4000, 19.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5300 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.4950 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3200, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3700 (bear) to HK$0.4600 (bull), the price of HK$0.4950 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 32.8M CNY in FY2025 versus 67.2M CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.4%/yr. Reported net income was −10.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$216M (≈ $27.5M) · P/S ratio 4.45 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −30.8% · Return on equity −5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −32.5% · Revenue (TTM) 32.8M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −19%, 1871 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3700Fair Value HK$0.4000Bull HK$0.4600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.0% (2020) → −29.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 126 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−30.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−32.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4000 versus a price of HK$0.4950, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1871?
Our model-based fair value for China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is HK$0.4000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4950.
What is the quality score of 1871?
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3700, optimistic scenario HK$0.4600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4000, about −19% upside versus a price of HK$0.4950 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3700, optimistic scenario HK$0.4600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.8M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.4000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4950. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1871 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4950, fair value HK$0.4000, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1871?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4000). For China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0950 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd at about HK$216M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1871?
Our models span a range for China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3700, base HK$0.4000, optimistic HK$0.4600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −5.6%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1871 from its 52-week high?
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4950, about 5% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5200 and 150% above the low of HK$0.1980 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4950, calculated fair value HK$0.4000 (−19%), Quality Score 45/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1871 calculated?
We run China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4950. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4000, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The market capitalisation of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is HK$216M (≈ $27.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is 4.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Earnings per share at China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The net margin of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is −30.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
The operating margin of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is −32.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Revenue at China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is growing +11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871)?
Earnings per share at China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd are growing −98.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871) generate?
The free cash flow of China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd is −639K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd (1871) hold?
China Oriented Intl Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 70.2M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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