Xingda International Holdings Ltd (1899) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$2.2B (≈ $279M) · ISIN KYG9827V1068

What is Xingda International Holdings Ltd really worth?

XI Xingda International Holdings Ltd 1899 · HK

PriceHK$1.07

Fair ValueHK$3.51

Upside+228.0%

Quality42/100

Below-average quality, trading 70% below our fair value of HK$3.51.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Xingda International Holdings Ltd is HK$3.51 per share against a price of HK$1.07, so the fair value sits 228% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin

!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)

!Narrow moat 24/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on future: 4 out of 100

!Weak on past: 22 out of 100

Evidence: Low Range HK$3.41 – HK$4.39

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −5.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6190 – HK$1.35 · fair‑value band HK$3.41 – HK$4.39 · the HK$1.07 price screens below the HK$3.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Xingda International Holdings Ltd (1899) currently trades at HK$1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.51, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$4.37 per share, and 25 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$1.07 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.17, and 0 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xingda International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$11.5B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at HK$6.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.41 (bear case) to HK$4.39 (bull case); at HK$1.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 228%, 1899 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0682 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$3.37 HK$5.25 HK$8.00 79

Growth DCF HK$3.42 HK$5.07 HK$7.34 78

Residual Income HK$2.66 HK$2.71 HK$2.60 76

All 25 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$3.37 HK$5.25 HK$8.00 79

5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.47 HK$3.83 HK$5.53 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.93 HK$8.42 HK$12.51 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$2.76 HK$4.36 HK$6.02 71

10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.71 HK$4.01 HK$5.70 67

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.30 HK$7.13 HK$10.91 67

10Y P/E Exit HK$2.95 HK$4.37 HK$6.07 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$1.21 HK$3.77 HK$5.02 64

Lynch FV HK$0.8200 HK$1.17 HK$1.53 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.8200 HK$1.17 HK$1.53 57

EPV HK$1.36 HK$1.60 HK$1.82 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$1.21 HK$2.42 HK$3.66 67

DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.21 HK$1.98 HK$2.55 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$2.93 HK$3.90 HK$4.88 63

P/S Multiple HK$2.26 HK$3.02 HK$3.77 58

P/B Multiple HK$2.26 HK$3.02 HK$3.77 55

EV/EBIT HK$3.17 HK$4.29 HK$5.42 66

EV/EBITDA HK$6.56 HK$8.81 HK$11.06 67

EV/Revenue HK$2.07 HK$3.05 HK$4.02 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$1.73 HK$2.32 HK$3.47 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$3.42 HK$5.07 HK$7.34 78

Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.47 HK$3.86 HK$5.47 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$2.66 HK$2.71 HK$2.60 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.36 HK$1.60 HK$1.82 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.41 HK$3.45 HK$4.48 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$4.37) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.17). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.7 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 0.17 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7

Dividend yield 12.1% payout 130%

Net margin 3.0% FY2025

Return on equity 5.4% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% avg 5y

Operating margin 3.6% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$11.5B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7% 3y avg +2.0%

EPS growth (YoY) +83.9%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$633M FY2025

Net debt HK$6.8B FY2025 · ≈ 10.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 26

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 49

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 50

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 23

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 75

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 86

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 33

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 29

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 48

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Xingda International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in radial tire cords, bead wires, and other wires in the People's Republic of China, India, the United States, Thailand, Romania, Slovakia, Brazil, and internationally. The company offers galvanized wires/wire ropes, steel cords, and hose wires. It also invests in commercial properties; and produces and supplies heating power. The company serves tire and hose manufacturers. Xingda International Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xingda International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 11.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 340M CNY in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$11.5B

Latest YoY

−3.9%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+2.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+8.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+11.9%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+17.8% · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+5.7%

Dividend yield12.1%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.7% vs 10Y −0.6%, picking up

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.9% (2020) → 4.2% (2025) · steady

Worst earnings drop78% (2012) · in HKD

Revenue +1.9%/yr

FY21 10.6B CNY

FY22 10.8B CNY

FY23 11.5B CNY

FY24 11.9B CNY

FY25 11.5B CNY

Net income +11.7%/yr

FY21 219M CNY

FY22 348M CNY

FY23 449M CNY

FY24 269M CNY

FY25 340M CNY

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.2 % p.a.

Revenue per share +6.8 %

of which total revenue +9.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %

EBIT margin −4.4 %

Tax rate −0.5 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Xingda International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$3.51 +70%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1899.HK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Xingda International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$3.51</b> <span style="color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+70%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xingda International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1899.HK

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%

Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median

Return on assets 1% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median

Revenue growth 1% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 12.1% · Top 25%

Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

PEG 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 14

FUTURE4 · sector 21

PAST22 · sector 28

HEALTH89 · sector 95

DIVIDEND100 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xingda International Holdings Ltd (1899) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.51 versus a price of HK$1.07, about +228% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1899?

Our model-based fair value for Xingda International Holdings Ltd is HK$3.51 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.07.

What is the quality score of 1899?

Xingda International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Xingda International Holdings Ltd (1899)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.51 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.41, optimistic scenario HK$4.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Xingda International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$3.51, about +228% upside versus a price of HK$1.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.41, optimistic scenario HK$4.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Xingda International Holdings Ltd (1899)?

Xingda International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$11.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1899?

The net profit margin of Xingda International Holdings Ltd is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Xingda International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?

Xingda International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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