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Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kwungs Holdings Ltd HK$1.80, price HK$1.24, upside +45.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN KYG5331A1094

KH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kwungs Holdings Ltd

1925 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$1.80 · Undervalued (+45.2%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.52 HK$0.8828 Fair Value HK$1.80 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.8828 – HK$1.52 · fair‑value band HK$1.26 – HK$2.34 · the HK$1.24 price screens below the HK$1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of home decoration and fragrance products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers home fragrance candles and fragrance diffusers; and wax, metal, glass, and aromatherapy products.

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Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of home decoration and fragrance products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers home fragrance candles and fragrance diffusers; and wax, metal, glass, and aromatherapy products. The company also engages in the wholesale and retail of household items and handicrafts; and import and export of self-employed or agent goods and technologies. In addition, it provides aromatic wellness brand products; and involved in the group retail brand product showroom planning activities. The company was formerly known as Kwung's Holdings Limited and changed its name to Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited in July 2024. Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Ningbo, the People's Republic of China. Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Golden Element Investment Limited.

Stock analysis

Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) currently trades at HK$1.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 31.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.52 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$1.24 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.5600, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.26 (bear) to HK$2.34 (bull), the price of HK$1.24 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kwungs Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 882M CNY in FY2025 versus 631M CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 35.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$502M (≈ $64.0M) · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 45%, 1925 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.26 Fair Value HK$1.80 Bull HK$2.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0450 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$2.24 HK$2.52 HK$2.90 78
Residual Income HK$1.14 HK$1.15 HK$1.22 76
EPV HK$2.43 HK$2.51 HK$2.58 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$2.24 HK$2.52 HK$2.90 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.7000 HK$2.92 HK$3.98 64
Lynch FV HK$0.7400 HK$1.05 HK$1.37 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.7400 HK$1.05 HK$1.37 57
EPV HK$2.43 HK$2.51 HK$2.58 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3600 HK$0.6000 HK$0.7700 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3600 HK$0.5600 HK$0.6400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.63 HK$2.17 HK$2.72 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.32 HK$1.76 HK$2.20 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.32 HK$1.76 HK$2.20 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.26 HK$3.78 HK$4.30 66
EV/EBITDA HK$3.90 HK$4.63 HK$5.36 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.82 HK$3.29 HK$3.77 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7900 HK$1.06 HK$1.58 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.14 HK$1.15 HK$1.22 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.43 HK$2.51 HK$2.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.26 HK$1.80 HK$2.34 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.8% vs 97.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 241 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +45.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.6% · Below median
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −21.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.78× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)94 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)71 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $86.52 $56.16 −35%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,943 ₹775.25 −60%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $17.80 $12.72 −29%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $94.47 $44.21 −53%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $98.77 $83.77 −15%
Henkel AG HEN €68.10 €82.61 +21%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $95.62 $65.04 −32%
Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI €78.56 €69.09 −12%
Puig Brands, S.A PUIG €17.84 €24.28 +36%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹819.00 ₹493.84 −40%

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HK$1.80 +31%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kwungs Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1925

Frequently asked questions

Is Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.80 versus a price of HK$1.24, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1925?
Our model-based fair value for Kwungs Holdings Ltd is HK$1.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.24.
What is the quality score of 1925?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.26, optimistic scenario HK$2.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kwungs Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.80, about +45% upside versus a price of HK$1.24 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.26, optimistic scenario HK$2.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 882M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Kwungs Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kwungs Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.80 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.24. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kwungs Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1925 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.24, fair value HK$1.80, a gap of about +45% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1925?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.80). For Kwungs Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kwungs Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Kwungs Holdings Ltd at about HK$502M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.24; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1925?
Our models span a range for Kwungs Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.26, base HK$1.80, optimistic HK$2.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1925?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kwungs Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1925 from its 52-week high?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.24, about 10% below its 52-week high of HK$1.39 and 25% above the low of HK$0.9894 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kwungs Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kwungs Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.24, calculated fair value HK$1.80 (+45%), Quality Score 42/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1925 calculated?
We run Kwungs Holdings Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Kwungs Holdings Ltd currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.24. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.80, about +45% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kwungs Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.26 to HK$2.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Kwungs Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The market capitalisation of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is HK$502M (≈ $64.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Earnings per share at Kwungs Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The dividend yield of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 3.5% (payout 73.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The net margin of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
The operating margin of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Revenue at Kwungs Holdings Ltd is growing −21.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925)?
Earnings per share at Kwungs Holdings Ltd are growing −80.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) generate?
The free cash flow of Kwungs Holdings Ltd is −1.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) hold?
Kwungs Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 102M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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