Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$498M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −1.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 40% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.8828 – HK$1.52 · fair‑value band HK$1.62 – HK$2.33 · the HK$1.28 price screens below the HK$1.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kwungs Holdings Ltd (1925) currently trades at HK$1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kwungs Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$882M at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$102M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.62 (bear case) to HK$2.33 (bull case); at HK$1.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at 40%, 1925 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.00) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.5600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of home decoration and fragrance products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers home fragrance candles and fragrance diffusers; and wax, metal, glass, and aromatherapy products.
Full company description
Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of home decoration and fragrance products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers home fragrance candles and fragrance diffusers; and wax, metal, glass, and aromatherapy products. The company also engages in the wholesale and retail of household items and handicrafts; and import and export of self-employed or agent goods and technologies. In addition, it provides aromatic wellness brand products; and involved in the group retail brand product showroom planning activities. The company was formerly known as Kwung's Holdings Limited and changed its name to Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited in July 2024. Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Ningbo, the People's Republic of China. Kwung's Aroma Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Golden Element Investment Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kwungs Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$882M in FY2025 versus HK$631M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$35.9M in FY2025, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 1925: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $144.26 | $108.16 | -25% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 973.58 MXN | -10% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,063 | ₹789.46 | -62% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 276.50 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹936.90 | ₹367.64 | -61% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹855.00 | ₹233.05 | -73% |
| APR Co 278470 | 397,000 KRW | 137,521 KRW | -65% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹411.25 | ₹175.59 | -57% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,760 IDR | 1,928 IDR | +10% |
| Amorepacific Corporation 090430 | 135,700 KRW | 84,785 KRW | -38% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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