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Jiujiuwang Food International Limited (1927) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$173M

JF Jiujiuwang Food International Limited 1927 · HK
PriceHK$0.2700
Fair ValueHK$0.3100
Upside+14.8%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1500 – HK$0.4600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +18.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1500 to HK$0.4600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.4600 (bull), base HK$0.3100. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4950 HK$0.0920 Fair Value HK$0.3100 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0920 – HK$0.4950 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.4600 · the HK$0.2700 price screens below the HK$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiujiuwang Food International Limited (1927) currently trades at HK$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiujiuwang Food International Limited generated revenue of HK$308M at a net margin of -2.5%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.9%. Net debt stands at HK$252M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear case) to HK$0.4600 (bull case); at HK$0.2700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 15%, 1927 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1700 74
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2200 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4900 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.1800 HK$0.3000 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1400 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4600 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2900 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.0100 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1300 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2200 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4900 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.0100 HK$0.0700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1700 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.3300) versus Multiples (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$308M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin -2.5%
Return on equity -1.9%
Free cash flow HK$31.7M FY2025
Operating margin -3.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -47.8%
Net debt HK$252M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiujiuwang Food International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells confectionary products in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It offers aerated, gum-based, hard, and tablet candies, as well as chocolate-made products. The company is also involved in the marketing and sales activities.

Full company description

Jiujiuwang Food International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells confectionary products in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It offers aerated, gum-based, hard, and tablet candies, as well as chocolate-made products. The company is also involved in the marketing and sales activities. It sells its products under the Coolsa, Lalabo, and Jiujiuwang brands. The company sells its products to the distributors and end-consumers through e-commerce channels; and brands owned or licensed by OEM customers. Jiujiuwang Food International Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jinjiang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiujiuwang Food International Limited reported revenue of HK$300M in FY2025 versus HK$410M in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$7.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$300M
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY21 HK$410M
FY22 HK$376M
FY23 HK$352M
FY24 HK$315M
FY25 HK$300M
Net income
FY21 HK$27.3M
FY22 HK$16.1M
FY23 HK$4.9M
FY24 −HK$3.6M
FY25 −HK$7.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiujiuwang Food International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1927

Peer Group

Confectioners · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 28
FUTURE 46 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 22
HEALTH 77 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 94,500 CHF 9,669 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.78 $27.36 -56%
The Hershey Company HSY $184.23 $91.25 -50%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,136 CHF 711.91 -37%
ORION Corp 271560 132,800 KRW 203,315 KRW +53%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥20.48 ¥9.09 -56%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 54.85 kr 59.12 +8%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹604.70 ₹304.54 -50%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,295 IDR 1,140 IDR -12%
ORION Holdings 001800 26,850 KRW 42,237 KRW +57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiujiuwang Food International Limited (1927) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$0.2700, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1927?
Our model-based fair value for Jiujiuwang Food International Limited is HK$0.3100 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2700.
What is the quality score of 1927?
Jiujiuwang Food International Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiujiuwang Food International Limited (1927)?
Jiujiuwang Food International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$308M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1927?
The net profit margin of Jiujiuwang Food International Limited is about -2.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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