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IMAX China Holding Inc (1970) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$2.8B

IC IMAX China Holding Inc 1970 · HK
PriceHK$8.62
Fair ValueHK$2.45
Upside-71.6%
Quality83/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 36.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.84 – HK$3.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +6.0% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$18.30 HK$4.01 Fair Value HK$2.45 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.01 – HK$18.30 · fair‑value band HK$1.84 – HK$3.05 · the HK$8.62 price screens above the HK$2.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

IMAX China Holding Inc (1970) currently trades at HK$8.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.45, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, IMAX China Holding Inc generated revenue of HK$102M at a net margin of 36.8%. Revenue grew 20.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$129M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.84 (bear case) to HK$3.05 (bull case); at HK$8.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -72%, 1970 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.17 HK$3.03 HK$4.20 80
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$0.9900 HK$1.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.36 HK$1.78 HK$2.23 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.15 HK$3.12 HK$4.54 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.92 HK$2.76 HK$4.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.36 HK$1.77 HK$2.28 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.88 HK$2.75 HK$3.75 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.01 HK$3.00 HK$4.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.62 HK$2.06 HK$2.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.96 HK$2.73 HK$3.72 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.05 HK$2.90 HK$3.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.7600 HK$2.37 HK$3.15 54
Lynch FV HK$0.5200 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9600 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9600 46
EPV HK$1.27 HK$1.42 HK$1.55 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.84 HK$2.45 HK$3.06 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7900 HK$1.06 HK$1.32 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.42 HK$1.89 HK$2.37 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.98 HK$2.54 HK$3.10 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.91 HK$2.44 HK$2.97 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.9400 HK$1.21 HK$1.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.9300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.17 HK$3.03 HK$4.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.36 HK$1.78 HK$2.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$0.9900 HK$1.84 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.33 HK$1.59 HK$1.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.51 HK$2.16 HK$2.81 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.75) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$102M
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.1%
Net margin 36.8%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow HK$57.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 36.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000
EPS growth (YoY) +99.5%
Net cash HK$129M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IMAX China Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital film technologies in the United States, Canada, Greater China, Asia, Western Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Content Solutions and Technology Products and Services.

Full company description

IMAX China Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital film technologies in the United States, Canada, Greater China, Asia, Western Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Content Solutions and Technology Products and Services. The company engages in the digital remastering and distribution of Hollywood, Chinese language, and other films in IMAX theatre network under the IMAX brand name. It also designs, procures, sells, and leases digital theatre systems, as well as provides related project management, maintenance services, warranty, and aftermarket sale of IMAX system parts and 3D glasses. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. IMAX China Holding, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of IMAX (Barbados) Holding, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IMAX China Holding Inc reported revenue of HK$102M in FY2025 versus HK$113M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$37.7M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$102M
Latest YoY
+26.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 HK$113M
FY22 HK$73.3M
FY23 HK$87.0M
FY24 HK$81.0M
FY25 HK$102M
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 HK$38.2M
FY22 HK$10.8M
FY23 HK$27.5M
FY24 HK$22.2M
FY25 HK$37.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.4 pp

of which total revenue −1.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp

EBIT margin +0.1 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1970 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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IMAX China Holding Inc · Fair Value
HK$2.45 −72%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IMAX China Holding Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1970

Peer Group

Entertainment · 266 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 51 · sector 0
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.08 C$2.66 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 46,000 KRW 82,382 KRW +79%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IMAX China Holding Inc (1970) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.45 versus a price of HK$8.62, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1970?
Our model-based fair value for IMAX China Holding Inc is HK$2.45 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$8.62.
What is the quality score of 1970?
IMAX China Holding Inc has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IMAX China Holding Inc (1970)?
IMAX China Holding Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$102M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1970?
The net profit margin of IMAX China Holding Inc is about 36.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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