Intel Corporation (1INTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Intel Corporation €31.27, price €108, upside -71.2%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €16.45 – €122.94 · fair‑value band €22.03 – €40.51 · the €108.46 price screens above the €31.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry.
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Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Stock analysis
Intel Corporation (1INTC) currently trades at €108.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.27, 71.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €22.03 (bear) to €40.51 (bull), the price of €108.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Intel Corporation reported revenue of $52.9B in FY2025 versus $63.1B in FY2022, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$267M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €542B · P/S ratio 10.1 · EPS (TTM) €−0.5200 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 6.9% · Revenue (TTM) $53.8B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 272% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −71%, 1INTC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €22.03Fair Value €31.27Bull €40.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.7% (2022) → 0.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1INTC
Frequently asked questions
Is Intel Corporation (1INTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.27 versus a price of €108.46, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1INTC?
Our model-based fair value for Intel Corporation is €31.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €108.46.
What is the quality score of 1INTC?
Intel Corporation has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €31.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €22.03, optimistic scenario €40.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intel Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €31.27, about −71% upside versus a price of €108.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €22.03, optimistic scenario €40.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Intel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intel Corporation it is €31.27 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €108.46. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Intel Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1INTC trades above its calculated fair value: price €108.46, fair value €31.27, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1INTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€108.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€31.27). For Intel Corporation the two are €77.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intel Corporation worth?
The market values Intel Corporation at about €542B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €108.46; our models calculate a fair value of €31.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1INTC?
Our models span a range for Intel Corporation: cautious scenario €22.03, base €31.27, optimistic €40.51 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price €108.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1INTC from its 52-week high?
Intel Corporation trades at €108.46, about 12% below its 52-week high of €122.94 and 272% above the low of €29.19 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €31.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intel Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intel Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €108.46, calculated fair value €31.27 (−71%), Quality Score 34/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1INTC calculated?
We run Intel Corporation through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €31.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Intel Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €108.46. Our model-based fair value is €31.27, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intel Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€40.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€22.03 to €40.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Intel Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The market capitalisation of Intel Corporation is €542B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intel Corporation is 10.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are €−0.5200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The net margin of Intel Corporation is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intel Corporation is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intel Corporation is −0.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
The operating margin of Intel Corporation is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Revenue at Intel Corporation is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intel Corporation (1INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are growing −71.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Intel Corporation (1INTC) generate?
The free cash flow of Intel Corporation is −$4.9B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Intel Corporation (1INTC) carry?
The net debt of Intel Corporation is $32.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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