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Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Morella Corporation Ltd A$0.02, price A$0.03, upside -29.6%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000199929

MC Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Morella Corporation Ltd

1MC · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0190 · Overvalued (−30%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −63.9 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$1.58 A$0.0140 Fair Value A$0.0190 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0140 – A$1.58 · fair‑value band A$0.0190 – A$0.0213 · the A$0.0270 price screens above the A$0.0190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Morella Corporation Limited focuses on the exploration and project development of lithium and battery minerals in Australia and the United States. The company operates through Exploration Services and Mineral Exploration segments. It also provides drilling services primarily to mining and exploration companies.

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Morella Corporation Limited focuses on the exploration and project development of lithium and battery minerals in Australia and the United States. The company operates through Exploration Services and Mineral Exploration segments. It also provides drilling services primarily to mining and exploration companies. The company was formerly known as Altura Mining Limited and changed its name to Morella Corporation Limited in December 2021. Morella Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC) currently trades at A$0.0270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0190, implying the stock looks roughly 42.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0190 (bear) to A$0.0213 (bull), the price of A$0.0270 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Morella Corporation Ltd reported revenue of A$636K in FY2025 versus A$133K in FY2021, a compound +47.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$10.2M (≈ $7.2M) · P/S ratio 15.4 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −98.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −46.6% · Operating margin −523% · Revenue (TTM) A$661K · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −30%, 1MC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0190 Fair Value A$0.0190 Bull A$0.0213
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 55

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−63.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −18.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.9% (2020) → −378.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1MC screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.86× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)44 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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A$0.0190 −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Morella Corporation Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1MC

Frequently asked questions

Is Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0190 versus a price of A$0.0270, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1MC?
Our model-based fair value for Morella Corporation Ltd is A$0.0190 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0270.
What is the quality score of 1MC?
Morella Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0190 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0190, optimistic scenario A$0.0213. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Morella Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0190, about −30% upside versus a price of A$0.0270 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0190, optimistic scenario A$0.0213. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Morella Corporation Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$661K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Morella Corporation Ltd it is A$0.0190 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0270. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Morella Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 1MC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0270, fair value A$0.0190, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1MC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0270); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0190). For Morella Corporation Ltd the two are A$0.0080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Morella Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values Morella Corporation Ltd at about A$10.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0270; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1MC?
Our models span a range for Morella Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0190, base A$0.0190, optimistic A$0.0213 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0270). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Morella Corporation Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −98.7%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1MC from its 52-week high?
Morella Corporation Ltd trades at A$0.0270, about 60% below its 52-week high of A$0.0680 and 50% above the low of A$0.0180 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Morella Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Morella Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0270, calculated fair value A$0.0190 (−30%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1MC calculated?
We run Morella Corporation Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0190, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Morella Corporation Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0270. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0190, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Morella Corporation Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0213). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0190 to A$0.0213), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Morella Corporation Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
The market capitalisation of Morella Corporation Ltd is A$10.2M (≈ $7.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Morella Corporation Ltd is 15.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Earnings per share at Morella Corporation Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Morella Corporation Ltd is −98.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Morella Corporation Ltd is −46.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
The operating margin of Morella Corporation Ltd is −523% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Revenue at Morella Corporation Ltd is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC)?
Earnings per share at Morella Corporation Ltd are growing +24.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC) generate?
The free cash flow of Morella Corporation Ltd is −A$3.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Morella Corporation Ltd (1MC) carry?
The net debt of Morella Corporation Ltd is A$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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