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China New Higher Education Group Ltd (2001) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.2B

CN China New Higher Education Group Ltd 2001 · HK
PriceHK$0.5400
Fair ValueHK$0.5755
Upside+6.6%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 31.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.3667 – HK$0.8805 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from HK$0.5759 to HK$0.5755 (−0.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3667 to HK$0.8805) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.64 HK$0.5400 Fair Value HK$0.5755 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5400 – HK$3.64 · fair‑value band HK$0.3667 – HK$0.8805 · the HK$0.5400 price screens below the HK$0.5755 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

China New Higher Education Group Ltd (2001) currently trades at HK$0.5400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5755, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China New Higher Education Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.6B at a net margin of 31.6%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3667 (bear case) to HK$0.8805 (bull case); at HK$0.5400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 7%, 2001 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.15 HK$5.77 HK$10.20 80
Residual Income HK$2.45 HK$3.21 HK$8.79 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.66 HK$2.99 HK$4.95 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.33 HK$5.40 HK$10.76 38
Owner Earnings HK$2.77 HK$6.01 HK$11.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.66 HK$2.81 HK$4.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.09 HK$8.12 HK$15.21 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$5.30 HK$11.59 HK$19.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.17 HK$3.74 HK$5.46 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.77 HK$7.90 HK$15.33 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.54 HK$9.96 HK$19.24 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.83 HK$19.45 HK$27.27 54
Lynch FV HK$5.72 HK$8.18 HK$10.63 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$5.72 HK$8.18 HK$10.63 46
EPV HK$2.06 HK$2.38 HK$2.65 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.5900 HK$1.06 HK$1.46 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.5900 HK$0.9700 HK$1.13 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$6.86 HK$9.15 HK$11.44 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.17 HK$1.56 HK$1.96 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.30 HK$7.07 HK$8.84 55
EV/EBIT HK$4.80 HK$6.50 HK$8.20 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.68 HK$6.34 HK$8.00 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.8000 HK$1.27 HK$1.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.26 HK$1.68 HK$2.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.15 HK$5.77 HK$10.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.66 HK$2.99 HK$4.95 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.45 HK$3.21 HK$8.79 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.06 HK$2.38 HK$2.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$8.03 HK$11.48 HK$14.92 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$11.48) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.9700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 31.6%
Return on equity 16.6%
Free cash flow HK$565M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 31.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.2%
Net debt HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China New Higher Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides private education services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

China New Higher Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides private education services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates education institutions under Yunnan Technology and Business University, Guizhou Technology and Business Institute, Harbin Huade University, Lanzhou College of Information Science and Technology, Zhengzhou City Vocational College, Yunnan Vocational School, Hubei Enshi College, Guangxi Qinzhou Yinghua International Occupation and Technology School, and Luoyang Science and Technology Vocational College names. It also offers technical and management consultancy, and technology services; and sells textbooks. China New Higher Education Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China New Higher Education Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$820M in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.6B
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.8%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 HK$1.5B
FY22 HK$1.9B
FY23 HK$2.1B
FY24 HK$2.4B
FY25 HK$2.6B
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY21 HK$568M
FY22 HK$620M
FY23 HK$703M
FY24 HK$756M
FY25 HK$820M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +25.5 pp

of which total revenue +27.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp

EBIT margin −3.6 pp
Tax rate −1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China New Higher Education Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2001

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 12.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 37
FUTURE 13 · sector 22
PAST 66 · sector 19
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China New Higher Education Group Ltd (2001) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5755 versus a price of HK$0.5400, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2001?
Our model-based fair value for China New Higher Education Group Ltd is HK$0.5755 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5400.
What is the quality score of 2001?
China New Higher Education Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China New Higher Education Group Ltd (2001)?
China New Higher Education Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2001?
The net profit margin of China New Higher Education Group Ltd is about 31.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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