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Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co (200429) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap HK$20.3B

PriceHK$9.79
Fair ValueHK$17.15
Upside+75.2%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$9.00 – HK$26.20

Analysis

Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co (200429) currently trades at HK$9.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$17.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd., invests, constructs, charges, manages, and maintains expressways, toll highways and bridges in the People's Republic of China. The company is also involved in the maintenance, cleaning, and service of automobile rescue; parking lot charges; design, production, release, and agency of advertisements at home and abroad; land development; warehousing activities; research and development, and service of transportation technology; and equity investment, management, and consultation services. The company was formerly known as Guangdong FuKai Expressway Co., Ltd and changed its name to Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. in June 1993. Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.