Sichuan Expressway Company (601107) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 16.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.30 to ¥5.73 (+8.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.73). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.84 – ¥6.58 · fair‑value band ¥5.73 – ¥8.90 · the ¥5.53 price screens below the ¥5.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Expressway Company (601107) currently trades at ¥5.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.73, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Expressway Company generated revenue of 9.2B CNY at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue grew 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 34.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.73 (bear case) to ¥8.90 (bull case); at ¥5.53, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 4%, 601107 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥10.93) versus DCF Models (¥1.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of highway infrastructure projects in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Highway, New Energy Technology, Transportation Services, Transportation and Logistics, Project Construction and Others segments.
Full company description
Sichuan Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of highway infrastructure projects in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Highway, New Energy Technology, Transportation Services, Transportation and Logistics, Project Construction and Others segments. The company is involved in oil sales, charging pile electricity sales, advertising location rental, service area rental, property rental, catering service, supermarket sales, and construction services. It also offers operation and management, expansion and construction of projects; investment and asset management; advertising management; investment consulting, development and operation of new energy infrastructure, such as charging and swapping facilities, battery banks, and hydrogen refueling stations; construction engineering and design, installation and maintenance of power transmission and supply facilities; interior decoration and renovation; equity investment; and sales of fuel, chemical products and LNG, as well as investment and operation of multimodal transport hubs, supply chain management, international freight forwarding, and technical equipment services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China with an additional office in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Expressway Company reported revenue of ¥8.8B in FY2025 versus ¥9.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2025, compounding −5.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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