EN DE

Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B (200521) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap HK$3.2B

CM Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B 200521 · SHE
PriceHK$2.61
Fair ValueHK$7.46
Upside+185.8%
Quality57/100
Watch Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

Strengths

Trades 186% below our fair value of HK$7.46
Healthy Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)

Risks

!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Weak on past: 19 out of 100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: High Range HK$5.59 – HK$9.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$10.12 to HK$7.46 (−26.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +16.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 186% undervalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, review alerts and the diversification check: 14 days of Pro free, no card.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$5.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.79 HK$1.57 Fair Value HK$7.46 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.57 – HK$4.79 · fair‑value band HK$5.59 – HK$9.32 · the HK$2.61 price screens below the HK$7.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B (200521) currently trades at HK$2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.46, implying the stock looks roughly 185.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B generated revenue of HK$30.4B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$9.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$5.59 (bear case) to HK$9.32 (bull case); at HK$2.61, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 186%, 200521 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$14.90 HK$18.52 HK$24.37 80
Residual Income HK$4.68 HK$4.87 HK$5.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$14.31 HK$17.55 HK$21.76 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$14.96 HK$18.97 HK$25.71 38
Owner Earnings HK$14.98 HK$19.01 HK$25.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$14.31 HK$17.63 HK$22.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.52 HK$22.19 HK$29.36 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$15.54 HK$20.17 HK$25.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$14.35 HK$17.53 HK$22.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$15.92 HK$20.81 HK$28.34 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$15.29 HK$19.36 HK$25.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.71 HK$12.69 HK$17.45 54
Lynch FV HK$3.36 HK$4.80 HK$6.24 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$3.36 HK$4.80 HK$6.24 46
EPV HK$13.26 HK$13.81 HK$14.28 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$6.58 HK$8.77 HK$10.96 63
P/S Multiple HK$5.08 HK$6.77 HK$8.47 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.08 HK$6.77 HK$8.47 55
EV/EBIT HK$16.11 HK$18.22 HK$20.33 53
EV/EBITDA HK$17.95 HK$20.67 HK$23.39 54
EV/Revenue HK$14.05 HK$15.88 HK$17.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.95 HK$3.96 HK$5.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$14.90 HK$18.52 HK$24.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$14.31 HK$17.55 HK$21.76 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$4.68 HK$4.87 HK$5.05 76
ROIC Compounder HK$13.26 HK$13.81 HK$14.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.46 HK$7.81 HK$10.15 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$19.01) versus Asset-Based (HK$3.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 200521 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$30.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.5%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow HK$434M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.2 as of Jun 16, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 1.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3400
EPS growth (YoY) -60.8%
Net cash HK$9.6B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changhong Meiling Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacturing of refrigeration appliances and washing machines in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Air Conditioning; Refrigerator, Freezer and Washing Machine; Small Homehold Appliance; and Others.

Full company description

Changhong Meiling Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacturing of refrigeration appliances and washing machines in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Air Conditioning; Refrigerator, Freezer and Washing Machine; Small Homehold Appliance; and Others. The company offers a refrigerator (freezer) lineup, which includes the household, commercial, and medical series of professional refrigerating appliances; ultra-low temperature freezers; washing machine lineup, such as the front-load washer, top-load washer, dryer, and washer and dryer combo; kitchen, household, and small home appliances; and air-conditioners, as well as white goods. It also operates research and development centers, research institutes, laboratories, and test stations. The company was formerly known as Hefei Meiling Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. in July 2018. Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. was founded in 1983 is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B reported revenue of HK$30.4B in FY2025 versus HK$18.0B in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$410M in FY2025, compounding +67.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$30.4B
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 HK$18.0B
FY22 HK$20.2B
FY23 HK$24.4B
FY24 HK$28.6B
FY25 HK$30.4B
Net income +67.7%/yr
FY21 HK$51.9M
FY22 HK$245M
FY23 HK$736M
FY24 HK$699M
FY25 HK$410M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +8.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 pp

of which total revenue +9.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.6 pp

EBIT margin +2.4 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 200521: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/200521

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 322 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +186% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 18
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST19 · sector 19
HEALTH99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥84.34 ¥99.66 +18%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥40.23 ¥86.91 +116%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.79 ¥36.04 +65%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,500 TWD 1,917 TWD -85%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥173.26 ¥38.83 -78%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥27.69 ¥50.62 +83%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥57.74 ¥54.14 -6%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥41.68 ¥44.84 +8%
COWAY Co 021240 97,200 KRW 103,928 KRW +7%
Voltas Limited VOLTAS ₹1,235 ₹152.27 -88%

Compare Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Discover undervalued stocks

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Evidence & backtest 34 years, survivorship-adjusted Financial calculators DCF, Graham, PEG and more

Frequently asked questions

Is Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B (200521) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.46 versus a price of HK$2.61, about +186% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 200521?
Our model-based fair value for Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B is HK$7.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.61.
What is the quality score of 200521?
Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B (200521)?
Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$30.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 200521?
The net profit margin of Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Changhong Meiling Co Ltd B and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.