Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co (200530) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$2.62 to HK$1.77 (−32.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from HK$1.33 (bear) to HK$2.22 (bull), base HK$1.77. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.27 – HK$1.90 · fair‑value band HK$1.33 – HK$2.22 · the HK$1.59 price screens below the HK$1.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co (200530) currently trades at HK$1.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.77, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co generated revenue of HK$4.3B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$308M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.33 (bear case) to HK$2.22 (bull case); at HK$1.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 11%, 200530 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.51) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.6200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacturing, sale, installation, and maintenance of refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacturing, sale, installation, and maintenance of refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning equipment in China and internationally. The company offers piston type, screw type, vortex type, and lithium bromide absorption refrigeration machines/units, as well as pressure vessels, combination warehouses, controlled atmosphere fresh-keeping warehouses, refrigeration stations, quick freezing machines, and heat pumps. It provides maintenance services, including inspection and patrol, routine maintenance, emergency services, technical training, and overhaul workshop; and digital services. In addition, the company engages in the manufacturing and sale of gas compression machinery; building hardware; and plumbing equipment. It serves industrial refrigeration and heating, commercial freezing and refrigeration, air conditioning and environment, smart cold chain, industrial internet and intelligent control, and energy storage thermal management and CCUS industries. The company was formerly known as Dalian Refrigeration Company Limited and changed its name to Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd. in March 2020. Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co reported revenue of HK$4.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.1B in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$62.0M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +11.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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