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Changchai Company (200570) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap HK$1.4B

PriceHK$1.96
Fair ValueHK$2.60
Upside+32.7%
Quality93/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.22 – HK$2.98

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Changchai Company (200570) currently trades at HK$1.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Changchai Company, Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells small and medium-sized single cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines under the Changchai brand in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers light diesel and outboard engines; gasoline engines under the Robin brand; and intelligent integrated charging stations. Its diesel engines are used in tractors, combine harvesters, light commercial vehicles, agricultural equipment, small construction machinery, generating sets, marine engines, pickup and light trucks, low-speed trucks, gardening machinery, plant protection machinery, rice transplanters, cold chain and ships, water pump units, road maintenance machinery, and other fields. The company also provides diesel engine blocks, cylinder heads, crankshafts, gear chamber covers, balance shafts, and other parts for diesel engine manufacturing enterprises; castings, such as clamp bodies, brackets, and valve plates; waterjet propell…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changchai Company (200570) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.60 versus a price of HK$1.96 — about +33% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 200570?
Our 21-model fair value for Changchai Company is HK$2.60 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.96.
What is the quality score of 200570?
Changchai Company has a Quality Score of 93/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.