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National Industrialization Company (2060) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 5.7B SAR

NI National Industrialization Company 2060 · SR
Price8.50 SAR
Fair Value13.60 SAR
Upside+60.0%
Quality33/100
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -128.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 2/100
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Evidence: Low Range 10.15 SAR – 20.30 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (10.15 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (10.15 SAR to 20.30 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

11.84 SAR 8.21 SAR Fair Value 13.60 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 8.21 SAR – 11.84 SAR · fair‑value band 10.15 SAR – 20.30 SAR · the 8.50 SAR price screens below the 13.60 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

National Industrialization Company (2060) currently trades at 8.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.60 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 2.3B SAR. Revenue declined 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.4%. Net debt stands at 3.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.15 SAR (bear case) to 20.30 SAR (bull case); at 8.50 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2060 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.6%
Net margin -129%
Return on equity -32.4%
Free cash flow −238M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -26.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -4.53 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +232%
Net debt 3.5B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100
Profitability 0
Quality Growth 9
Cashflow 8
Fin. Strength 36
Investment 81
Low Volatility 87
Momentum 28
52W Momentum 18
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

National Industrialization Company operates in the petrochemicals, chemicals, metals, wires, and industrial and automotive batteries sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Africa, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Metallurgy, Petrochemicals, and Downstream & Others.

Full company description

National Industrialization Company operates in the petrochemicals, chemicals, metals, wires, and industrial and automotive batteries sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Africa, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Metallurgy, Petrochemicals, and Downstream & Others. The company offers acetic acid, butanol liquid fuel, butyl acrylate, glacial acrylic acid, iso-butanol, and normal butanol; high- and low-density polyethylene; polyethylene and polypropylene compound; pyrolysis oil; and superabsorbent polymer. It also provides BOPP films, car batteries, HDPE pipes, plastic pallets, agrifilm, plastic sheets, geomembrane liners, battery cases and covers, plastic paint pails, reprocessed resins, and lead, as well as technical inspection, HSE, auditing and certification, management and technical training, calibration, food testing, and product certification services. In addition, the company offers titanium sponge, titanium slag and sulphate fines, and pig iron. Further, it provides application development, analytical labs, technical support and training, and certifications and accreditations services, as well as engages in production of liquid batteries for cars and lead and sodium sulphate. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

National Industrialization Company reported revenue of 2.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 3.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.8B SAR in FY2025.

Revenue −9.3%/yr
FY21 3.7B SAR
FY22 3.9B SAR
FY23 3.6B SAR
FY24 3.9B SAR
FY25 2.5B SAR
Net income
FY21 2.1B SAR
FY22 1.1B SAR
FY23 175M SAR
FY24 103M SAR
FY25 −1.8B SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "National Industrialization Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2060

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 0
FUTURE 0 / 24
PAST 0 / 19
HEALTH 78 / 93
DIVIDEND 0 / 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN €443.00 €109.98 -75%
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 23.76 MXN -98%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.60 SAR 18.13 SAR -63%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥21.72 ¥42.42 +95%
Dow Inc D1OW34 R$41.12 R$16.66 -59%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥48.53 ¥20.70 -57%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥11.43 ¥2.90 -75%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,675 IDR 1,616 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 349,000 KRW 976,002 KRW +180%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 57.70 TWD 39.62 TWD -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is National Industrialization Company (2060) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.60 SAR versus a price of 8.50 SAR, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2060?
Our model-based fair value for National Industrialization Company is 13.60 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 8.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2060?
National Industrialization Company has a Quality Score of 33/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of National Industrialization Company (2060)?
National Industrialization Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2060?
The net profit margin of National Industrialization Company is about -128.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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