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Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd (2067) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 295M TWD

CY Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd 2067 · TWO
Price5.46 TWD
Fair Value3.29 TWD
Upside-39.7%
Quality36/100
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Risks

!Trades 40% ABOVE our fair value of 3.29 TWD
!Expensive Growth
!Loss-making · -12.7% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -12.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range 2.93 TWD – 3.69 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 3.51 TWD to 3.29 TWD (−6.3%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −16.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.69 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

16.10 TWD 5.46 TWD Fair Value 3.29 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.46 TWD – 16.10 TWD · fair‑value band 2.93 TWD – 3.69 TWD · the 5.46 TWD price screens above the 3.29 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd (2067) currently trades at 5.46 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.29 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.0B TWD at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.0%. Net debt stands at 1.1B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.93 TWD (bear case) to 3.69 TWD (bull case); at 5.46 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -40%, 2067 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 2.79 TWD 3.11 TWD 3.46 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.79 TWD 3.36 TWD 3.98 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 2.90 TWD 3.88 TWD 5.79 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.79 TWD 3.11 TWD 3.46 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.79 TWD 3.36 TWD 3.98 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.90 TWD 3.88 TWD 5.79 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3.88 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.11 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.5%
Net margin -12.7%
Return on equity -57.0%
Free cash flow −59.5M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -13.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.80 TWD
Net debt 1.1B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chia Yi Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies castings for automobile parts sector in Asia, Europe, and the United States.

Full company description

Chia Yi Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies castings for automobile parts sector in Asia, Europe, and the United States. The company provides jack's parts, hydraulic valves, rolling rotors, carrier support, construction machinery parts, agriculture machinery parts, marine transmission parts, crane and hoist parts, engine parts, transmission parts, brake system parts, spring brackets, railroad bases, elevator sheaves, pumps, bolt machinery parts, and assembly of products. It also offers hydraulic, agricultural, automotive, gray and ductile iron, and high silicon molybdene products. In addition, the company provides machining, quality control, and casting production equipment; and computer-based mold flow simulation software, 3D printing of sand molds and sand cores, 3D printing of metal mold core, and FARO 3D scanning solutions. Chia Yi Steel Co., Ltd. was founded in 1974 and is based in Chiayi, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 985M TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −127M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B TWD
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 985M TWD
FY22 1.2B TWD
FY23 1.2B TWD
FY24 1.0B TWD
FY25 1.0B TWD
Net income
FY21 −10.8M TWD
FY22 −27.8M TWD
FY23 −34.4M TWD
FY24 −123M TWD
FY25 −127M TWD

2067 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2067

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 34
PAST0 · sector 19
HEALTH52 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd (2067) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.29 TWD versus a price of 5.46 TWD, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2067?
Our model-based fair value for Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd is 3.29 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.46 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2067?
Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd (2067)?
Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2067?
The net profit margin of Chia Yi Steel Co Ltd is about -12.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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